Jeb Bush definatly won't be on the ticket, in fact he gets enraged and hostile when its even mentioned now.
I can't see Allen picking Romney or Rice.
The reason I thought Watts was that him and Allen are close personal friends, and it can also help bring some kind of black votes (maybe a couple of points) and good publicity.
Allen and Watts, outside of politics seem to be pretty close and are very good friends and Watts has had success as a politician. Chemistry may be somewhat of a factor.
I don't see Allen picking anyone he doesn't know well or is farmiliar enough with on a personal level.
Allen is also making strong overtures towards social conservatives, so its almost a guarantee he won't pick someone who is pro-abortion.
I tend to agree with you. However, I still think that Watts will not deliver anything or hardly anything to Allen. I see Watts in the Cabinet, not in the VP slot. Who knows, maybe McShame would accept.