LOL. On what basis can you make such an assessment? If the Shia/Kurds outnumber the Sunnis four to one and control the levers of government, it won't matter anyway. AQ would love a civil war, which is why it won't happen.
If a civil war broke out, the Shia and Kurds wouldn't just roll over them. It would be a extremely bloody back and forth that would last for years.
You make these statements with such certainty. Are you a military analyst with years of experience in the region including boots on the ground knowledge or did you stay at a Holiday Inn?
Bing West put it best
"The Sunnis have no repentance," said Bing West, author of "No True Glory: a Frontline Account of the Battle for Fallujah," on Oct. 7 at the Heritage Foundation. "They believe if we left, they would be ruling the Shiites in three months." Having been in charge for 700 years, Sunnis may be correct in believing that and, in any event, have a hard time believing their centuries' long run is over.
http://washingtontimes.com/op-ed/20051018-092724-3489r.htm