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Surprise secret to soccer appeal
BBC News ^ | January 4, 2006 | BBC News

Posted on 01/04/2006 3:23:20 PM PST by Right Wing Assault

American football, basketball and baseball have millions of followers, but they can't match soccer for sheer excitement, says a team of scientists.

The reason is its element of surprise, claim researchers from Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, US.

Football is more likely to produce an unexpected result, such as a "giant killer" win in the FA Cup.

Scientists analysed results from more than 300,000 games played over the past century.

They reviewed five sports: ice hockey, football, baseball and basketball in the US, and English football.

The team decided to make unpredictability - how often a leading team is overcome by an opponent with a worse record - the best measure of how exciting a league is.

"If there are no upsets, then every game is predictable and hence boring," co-author Eli Ben-Naim told New Scientist magazine.

The results of the analysis showed that the "upset frequency" was highest for soccer, followed by baseball, hockey, and basketball. American football came last on the list, and so was labelled the least exciting sport.

But there was a twist in the tail.

When the scientists looked only at data from the past 10 years, English Premiership football and baseball swapped places.

One interpretation of the finding might be that soccer has become more predictable in recent years.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: football; soccer; sports
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Unredictability of outcome makes a sport exciting? Coin flipping should be the top rated sport in that case.
1 posted on 01/04/2006 3:23:22 PM PST by Right Wing Assault
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To: Right Wing Assault
American football, basketball and baseball have millions of followers, but they can't match soccer for sheer excitement, says a team of scientists.

Oh yeah. Gotta love those RIVETING 0-0 games where the ball get's bounced around midfield for 90+ minutes..../sarcasm
2 posted on 01/04/2006 3:25:00 PM PST by MikefromOhio (The department of redundancy department is ringing bells to be rung)
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To: Right Wing Assault

There is no sport in the world more exciting than Crimson Tide football.


3 posted on 01/04/2006 3:28:20 PM PST by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: Right Wing Assault

I hope this research wasn't government financed.


4 posted on 01/04/2006 3:29:34 PM PST by RippleFire ("It's a joke, son!")
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To: Right Wing Assault

Soccer - dullest sport ever? Unless you are 12 and playing it, it absolutely stinks. These must be the same "scientists" that insist the Kyoto Protocol is brilliant.


5 posted on 01/04/2006 3:29:46 PM PST by mallardx
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To: AzaleaCity5691

yes there is.

Ohio State football

:)

and, I can't resist, more dominant right now too....


6 posted on 01/04/2006 3:32:31 PM PST by MikefromOhio (The department of redundancy department is ringing bells to be rung)
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To: Right Wing Assault
researchers from Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, US.

This is scary if these are the guys doing our weapons research. Anyway, why are they studying sports excitement? Can't we find something a bit more useful for them to do?

7 posted on 01/04/2006 3:33:01 PM PST by Right Wing Assault ("..this administration is planning a 'Right Wing Assault' on values and ideals.." - John Kerry)
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To: AzaleaCity5691

Exciting- I still wonder how Bobby Bowden hasn't died of a heart attack yet.


8 posted on 01/04/2006 3:34:02 PM PST by Tyche (A half truth is a whole lie)
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To: Right Wing Assault

Soccer is gay.


9 posted on 01/04/2006 3:34:34 PM PST by MARKUSPRIME
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To: Right Wing Assault

What's to understand? If you like soccer, you are Latino, European, or gay.


10 posted on 01/04/2006 3:34:45 PM PST by Xenalyte (Can you count, suckas? I say the future is ours . . . if you can count.)
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To: mallardx

Ditto that!!!


11 posted on 01/04/2006 3:35:15 PM PST by boomop1
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To: sfsoldier

ping


12 posted on 01/04/2006 3:36:40 PM PST by Choose Ye This Day (Win the war. Confirm the judges. Cut the taxes. Control the spending. Secure the border.)
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I can't believe that they are wasting resources for this at LANL, even IF the funding came from a non-taxpayer source.

I almost would have thought this was just some lame satire...

Wrote to my friend who works at LANL; Asked her what the heck they were doing.


13 posted on 01/04/2006 3:37:18 PM PST by LegendHasIt
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To: Right Wing Assault

Soccer is a game for people who are skilled enough to play sports.

Why do you think they have soccer leagues for 5 year old girls?


14 posted on 01/04/2006 3:37:18 PM PST by Stu Cohen (Press '1' for English)
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To: Right Wing Assault

Soccer ia a socialist game. You gotta play with both hands behind your back.


15 posted on 01/04/2006 3:37:19 PM PST by Lexington Green (JOURNALIST - What a propagandist calls himself.)
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To: Stu Cohen

Make that AREN'T skilled enough.

1-0 final score. Woo-hoo.


16 posted on 01/04/2006 3:37:41 PM PST by Stu Cohen (Press '1' for English)
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To: AzaleaCity5691
There is no sport in the world more exciting than Crimson Tide football.

You are crazy. There is nothing more exciting than Arkansas Razorback football. You have no idea if you are going to lose 77-0 or win 3-0.
17 posted on 01/04/2006 3:42:39 PM PST by Arkinsaw
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To: Right Wing Assault

First of all I love football but Lacrosse comes a close second for me......

signed,
proud lacrosse mom


18 posted on 01/04/2006 3:43:09 PM PST by Kimmers
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To: Stu Cohen

They need to make that goal about twice as wide and give different points for shots from different distances. I'm not a soccer fan, so all the plays look the same to me. I love real football because of its variety.


19 posted on 01/04/2006 3:44:33 PM PST by Right Wing Assault ("..this administration is planning a 'Right Wing Assault' on values and ideals.." - John Kerry)
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To: Arkinsaw

I'll tell you this. I'm willing to put money on two things.

Next season, Arkansas will have a better record than Tennessee, and more importantly, Arkansas will come out of this season with a better recruiting class than Tennessee.

I have waited so long for the fall of Fulmer and now that it's happening, well, let's just say I'm overjoyed.


20 posted on 01/04/2006 3:49:37 PM PST by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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