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Solar-Powered Millennial-Scale Climatic Change
CO2Science ^ | January 4, 2006 | Sherwood, Keith and Craig Idso

Posted on 01/10/2006 11:57:27 AM PST by Daralundy

Many palaeoclimate records from earth's North Atlantic region depict a millennial-scale oscillation of climate, which during the last glacial period was highlighted by Dansgaard-Oeschger events that regularly recurred at approximately 1,470-year intervals.

Because of the consistency of their occurrence, it was long believed that these well-tuned periodic events were orchestrated by similarly-paced solar activity; but a major problem with this idea was that no known solar process or orbital perturbation exhibited the periodicity of the Dansgaard-Oeschger events.

Now, however, Braun et al. (2005) have performed an analysis that successfully explains this dichotomy. Noting that the periods of the well-known DeVries-Suess and Gleissberg solar cycles (~210 and 87 years, respectively) are close to prime factors of 1,470 years, the team of eight German scientists opined that "the superposition of two such frequencies could result in variability that repeats with a 1,470-year period."

They did more than opine about the matter; they proceeded to show, in their words, that "an intermediate-complexity climate model with glacial climate conditions simulates rapid climate shifts similar to the Dansgaard-Oeschger events with a spacing of 1,470 years when forced by periodic freshwater input into the North Atlantic ocean in cycles of ~86 and ~210 years." The researchers' goal in this exercise was "not aimed at suggesting a certain mechanism for solar influence on freshwater fluxes," as they describe it, but merely to demonstrate that "the glacial 1,470-year climate cycles could have been triggered by solar forcing despite the absence of a 1,470-year solar cycle," which objective they admirably achieved.

For the same reason, and also without specifying a particular mechanism, Braun et al.'s exercise suggests that the similarly-paced millennial-scale oscillation of climate that has reverberated throughout the Holocene (but with less perfect regularity) is also driven by the combinatorial effect of the DeVries-Suess and Gleissberg solar cycles.

(Excerpt) Read more at co2science.org ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: climatechange; globalwarming

1 posted on 01/10/2006 11:57:29 AM PST by Daralundy
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To: Daralundy
Yeah yeah.... But how does their model account for the sudden upsurge in global temperatures and sea levels when I start my Durango in the morning? Huh? Answer me that!

* crickets chirping *

LOL... </sarcasm>

2 posted on 01/10/2006 12:01:08 PM PST by TChris ("Unless you act, you're going to lose your world." - Mark Steyn)
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To: TChris

Start that sucker. Turn it off. Then start it again. Give them a double dose. ;-D


3 posted on 01/10/2006 12:03:03 PM PST by GingisK
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To: Daralundy

Real math trumps religion of CO2?


4 posted on 01/10/2006 12:13:24 PM PST by xcamel (Exposing clandestine operations is treason. 13 knots make a noose.)
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To: GingisK
Start that sucker. Turn it off. Then start it again. Give them a double dose. ;-D

Yeah, I'll do that next time! Oh, your name is pronounced "jin-jiss", right? ;-)

5 posted on 01/10/2006 12:13:54 PM PST by TChris ("Unless you act, you're going to lose your world." - Mark Steyn)
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To: Daralundy
From the article, emphasis mine:

The final logical extension of these observations should be obvious to all: the global warming of the past century or so, which propelled the earth out of the Little Ice Age and into the Current Warm Period, was in all likelihood a result of the most recent upswing in this continuing cycle of solar-induced climate change. Hence, there is no longer any need to consider the historical rise in the atmosphere's CO2 concentration as being the primary driver of 20th-century warming. Like everything else climate alarmists lump along with it, the much-maligned greenhouse gas was merely "along for the ride" on earth's eternally-oscillating climatic roller coaster whose operator is the sun.

6 posted on 01/10/2006 12:23:06 PM PST by tx_eggman (Leave them whimpering in a pool of sweat - Hook'em Horns)
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To: Daralundy
I would then posit a heterodyne effect as well..

Two frequencies should exist..
296 years
123 years..

Anyone see a correlation ??

7 posted on 01/10/2006 12:25:27 PM PST by Drammach (Freedom; not just a job, it's an adventure..)
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To: Drammach
Yeah, the 126 year period is just about as long as any new conquering "empire" lasts before it is overthrown, usually starting with the locals at the center of the empire.

The 296 year beat probably tracks the price of beer at the wholesale level in Western Europe.

8 posted on 01/10/2006 12:31:58 PM PST by muawiyah (-)
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To: muawiyah

Close enough for me.. Sounds scientific...Fer Sure..


9 posted on 01/10/2006 12:37:28 PM PST by Drammach (Freedom; not just a job, it's an adventure..)
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To: TChris

There are plenty of little-published scientific studies of recent (this century) changes in solar energy activity on massive scales and "global" atmospheric changes, some very recent, with every planet in our solar system for which our scientific rockets and telescopes have conducted studies.

"Global warming" is solar and the solar changes are due to energy cycles of the sun and changes in the inter-stellar medium as the Sun migrates around the galaxy.


10 posted on 01/10/2006 12:59:33 PM PST by Wuli
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To: Daralundy

-b-


11 posted on 01/10/2006 1:16:10 PM PST by rellimpank (Don't believe anything about firearms or explosives stated by the mass media---NRABenefactor)
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To: Daralundy

This would also explain why the ice caps are shrinking on Mars.


12 posted on 01/10/2006 1:49:23 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Jack Murtha: America's best-known former marine)
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To: Daralundy; cogitator

BTTT!


13 posted on 01/10/2006 1:53:32 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Jack Murtha: America's best-known former marine)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Remember what Gandalf said in Moria when he realized he was about to confront a Balrog?


14 posted on 01/10/2006 2:02:39 PM PST by cogitator
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To: cogitator

Holy Crap !! It's a friggin' Balrog !!!


15 posted on 01/10/2006 2:11:41 PM PST by Drammach (Freedom; not just a job, it's an adventure..)
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To: Drammach
Holy Crap !! It's a friggin' Balrog !!!

That's not an exact quote from the canon, of course.

16 posted on 01/10/2006 2:15:48 PM PST by cogitator
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To: cogitator
I was paraphrasing, of course...

sorry, couldn't help it...

17 posted on 01/10/2006 2:18:29 PM PST by Drammach (Freedom; not just a job, it's an adventure..)
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To: cogitator

I don't remember. Refresh us, please, and kindly get to the point, if you would be so kind.


18 posted on 01/10/2006 2:49:29 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Jack Murtha: America's best-known former marine)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
"What an evil fortune! And I am already weary."

Hopefully that gets to the point. This is an interesting study; I'd like to read it directly instead of filtered.

19 posted on 01/10/2006 2:54:36 PM PST by cogitator
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