The 2004-05 fiscal year concluded with a reserve of $9.1 billion. The reserve amount is up sharply from the $7.5 billion estimate included in the 2005-06 Budget Act, and is $1 billion more than the amount assumed in our November forecast. This improvement from both of the previous estimates is due mainly to large upward revisions to year-end revenue accruals to the corporation tax and personal income tax. More generally, the large 2004-05 reserve is a reflection of strong amnesty payments received last year, and includes the proceeds of the deficit-financing bonds issued in 2003-04.
In 2005-06, expenditures are expected to exceed revenues by $2.6 billion, leaving $6.5 billion in the reserve.
In 2006-07, expenditures increase to nearly $98 billion, while revenues are projected to reach $92 billion. The resulting large operating shortfall results in a further decline in the reserve, to $613 million by the close of the budget year.
Figure 3 Governors Budget |
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(Dollars in Millions) |
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|
|
|
Proposed for 2006-07 |
|
|
Actual |
Estimated |
Amount |
Percent |
Prior-year fund balance |
$7,228 |
$9,634 |
$7,031 |
|
Revenues and transfers |
82,209 |
87,691 |
92,005 |
4.9% |
Total resources available |
($89,438) |
($97,325) |
($99,036) |
|
Expenditures |
$79,804 |
$90,294 |
$97,902 |
8.4% |
Ending fund balance |
$9,634 |
$7,031 |
$1,134 |
|
Encumbrances |
$521 |
$521 |
$521 |
|
Reserve |
$9,112 |
$6,510 |
$613 |
|
Budget Stabilization Account |
|
|
$460 |
|
Reserve for Economic Uncertainties |
$9,112 |
$6,510 |
153 |
|