I put the timetable for Israeli action closer to March. Why? From the spring foreward the U.S. will be drawing down troops in Iraq, and why should Israel act when there are fewer and fewer boots on the ground? In addition, why act at the height of an American election? When Israel acts in Iran in March or so, this strengthens mightily the entire Republican congressional delegation, and puts entirely in perspective the largely manufactured Abramoff scandal.
My point is that if Israel is going to act anyway, why do so at any time that benefits the weeny-Dems? Time everything so that it helps muscular Reps. Again, timing is the issue, given that Israel decides to act regardless. If they fail to make that decision, then everything else falls apart (and we are back to pondering what the UNSC does).
I agree with you. March is the month in my opinion. I would say sometime around the ides of March.