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US is desperate to hunt down Al Qaeda leaders
Daily Times (PK) ^ | Thursday, January 19, 2006 | By Jim Mannion

Posted on 01/18/2006 7:04:18 PM PST by Perdogg

Analysts say a series of successful strikes by armed Predator drones controlled by the CIA over the past two years point to a more disciplined effort ti kill Al Qaeda operatives than in the immediate aftermath of the Sept 11, 2001 attacks

US intelligence appears to be getting closer to top Al Qaeda leaders despite a seemingly hit-and-miss hunt that has left behind civilian casualties and bruised relations with allies, analysts say.

Pakistani officials said four or five “foreign terrorists” may have been among the dead in the latest action, a missile strike in a remote triabl area late Thursday or early Friday aimed at Ayman al-Zawahiri, Al Qaeda’s number two.

With 18 civilians also reported killed and Pakistani condemnations pouring in, the strike underscored the cost of a secret hunt that has so far failed to net either Zawahiri or Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden.

But analysts said a series of successful strikes by armed Predator drones controlled by the Central Intelligence Agency over the past two years point to a more disciplined effort than in the immediate aftermath of the September 11, 2001 attacks.

“They are working on better intelligence, and they are not launching an attack like this unless they do have hard intelligence,” said Vincent Cannistraro, a former chief of the CIA’s counter-terrorism center.

With US officials refusing to comment on the missile strike, little is known publicly about what led US intelligence to the village of Damadola in the Bajur tribal area in northwestern Pakistan.

Pakistani officials said the strike was launched in response to intelligence that up to a dozen Al Qaeda associates had been invited to a dinner at the village, possibly including Zawahiri.

However, it was unknown whether Zawahiri was there.

The bodies of the foreign militants were quickly removed from the scene by two local loyalists, Bajur’s administrator Fajim Wazi said in a statement Tuesday.

“Clearly an attack like this is politically risky and there is always an element of risk of collateral damage, in some cases a very high level of risk,” Cannistraro told AFP.

“And to do it had to be on the basis that an important, high value target was there. I think that is the key to understanding why they did this one,” he said.

“It’s because they had intelligence which they believed to be concrete and solid that the number two in Al Qaeda who is obviously a high priority for the CIA was going to be there,” he said.

The site, which had been reliably reported to have been visited in the past by Zawahiri, was probably under remote surveillance for at least three days before the attack, he said.

So the CIA must have known that women and children not directly associated with Al Qaeda were present and at high risk, he said.

“That was kind of the trade-off,” he said. “I think in this case the opportunity to get someone like the number two of the organisation you’ve declared war on probably outweighed the concern about the collateral damage.”

The CIA has blundered in the past, most notoriously in February 2002 when an armed Predator tracked and killed a tall man in white robes in Afghanistan in the mistaken supposition he was bin Laden.

But the Predator has filled a need to surreptitiously observe and suddenly strike a fleeting enemy.

“For destructive power it’s about as precise as you can get with anything much bigger than a sniper rifle,” said John Pike, director of Global Security.Org, a group that gathers and analyzes information about the military.

The CIA appears to have used armed Predators only sparingly but with notable recent successes.

In November 2002, a CIA-controlled Predator fired a missile at a vehicle in Yemen, killing six people, including Ali Qaed Sunian Al-Harthi, a suspected ringleader in the October 2000 attack on the destroyer USS Cole.

Haith al-Yemeni, a top Al Qaeda leader, was reported to have been killed in May 2005 by a missile fired by a CIA Predator in Pakistan near the border with Afghanistan.

His killing closely followed the capture of another senior Al Qaeda figure, Abu Faraj al-Libbi in Pakistan.

In early December, Al Qaeda’s reputed number three, Hamza Rabia, was killed by a missile reportedly fired from a CIA Predator into a safehouse in the village of Asorai. Five people were killed in the attack.

Untouched until now, though, have been Al Qaeda’s two top leaders - bin Laden, who has been silent for a year, and Zawahiri, who surfaces from time to time with video-taped statements.

They are very difficult targets, Cannistraro says.

“But they do move. Sometimes they use walkie talkies and other short range communications devices to signal that they are moving.

“I think that the intelligence gained very methodically is not just human intelligence,” he said. “But the Pakistani’s cooperation... is probably essential.” afp


TOPICS: War on Terror
KEYWORDS: alqaeda; alzawahiri; gwot

1 posted on 01/18/2006 7:04:19 PM PST by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg
Wait, let me fix this... “That was kind of the trade-off,” he said. “I think in this case the opportunity to get someone like the number two of the organisation you’ve thats declared war on you probably outweighed the concern about the collateral damage.”
2 posted on 01/18/2006 7:10:31 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: Perdogg
Desperate is a very emotive word isn't it?
3 posted on 01/18/2006 7:12:47 PM PST by Daralundy
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To: tet68

You either with us or against us You harbor them your just as culable Bush's words from day one Tough do do


4 posted on 01/18/2006 7:16:23 PM PST by al baby (Father of the Beeber)
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To: Perdogg

We have desperate housewives. They have....desperate housewives. We have patient hunter-killers. They have desperate murderers. Desperation...If we were that desperate we would just go ahead and nuke the place.


5 posted on 01/18/2006 7:16:49 PM PST by TADSLOS (Right Wing Infidel since 1954)
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To: Daralundy
Desperate is a very emotive word isn't it?

A reporter concerned with accuracy and precision would've employed "determined".

6 posted on 01/18/2006 7:19:36 PM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: Daralundy
Desperate is a very emotive word isn't it?
Yup, No Bias to be inferred there. :^/
7 posted on 01/18/2006 7:21:53 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (Just because you're paranoid, doesn't mean they aren't out to get you :^)
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To: Perdogg
Analysts say a series of successful strikes by armed Predator drones controlled by the CIA over the past two years point to a more disciplined effort to kill Al Qaeda operatives

How is "a more disciplined effort" being desperate?

MSM spin/BS!

8 posted on 01/18/2006 7:22:40 PM PST by airborne (If being a Christian was a crime, would there be enough evidence to convict you?)
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To: Perdogg
They are very difficult targets, Cannistraro says. “But they do move. Sometimes they use walkie talkies and other short range communications devices to signal that they are moving."

STFU Vince.

9 posted on 01/18/2006 7:23:19 PM PST by Uncle Miltie (Liberals oppose individual slavery compared to colletive slavery because they hate competition!)
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To: airborne
I thought it was interesting since the author, who is obliviously a leftie, is admitting that the strike was successful. Maybe we did get Ayman Al Zawahiri.
10 posted on 01/18/2006 7:24:54 PM PST by Perdogg ("Facts are stupid things." - President Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: Perdogg

bttt


11 posted on 01/18/2006 7:26:17 PM PST by nopardons
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To: Perdogg

Headline writers always try to co-opt their stories with their own agendas. This isn't desperation, it's the hot breath of hell licking at the bootheels of people who can't run forever. I offer their next of kin this advice - boys, next time pick on somebody else.


12 posted on 01/18/2006 7:26:34 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: Perdogg
US is desperate to hunt down Al Qaeda leaders

Should read
'Decimated Al Qaeda Leaders Desperately Fleeing for Their Lives'

13 posted on 01/18/2006 7:29:34 PM PST by Lester Moore (The headwaters of the islamic river of death and hate are in Saudi Arabia.)
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To: tet68
You just shot an unarmed man!

Well, he shoulda armed himself.
14 posted on 01/18/2006 7:39:54 PM PST by sono (Ted Kennedy's naming his dog Splash is like Jack Abramoff naming his dog Bribe.)
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To: Perdogg

"Four or five" al Qaeda killed, along with 14 or 15 of their close friends?

Sounds like a deal to me!
Let's do it again tomorrow!


15 posted on 01/18/2006 8:16:02 PM PST by Redbob
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To: Perdogg

"US intelligence appears to be getting closer to top Al Qaeda leaders despite a seemingly hit-and-miss hunt that has left behind civilian casualties and bruised relations with allies, analysts say."

Too bad these analysts have not found a cure for their craniorectal dislocations.


16 posted on 01/18/2006 8:30:56 PM PST by nhoward14
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To: Perdogg
U.S. is desperate to patient in hunting down Al Queda Leaders.

There, that's better.

17 posted on 01/18/2006 8:59:15 PM PST by tioga (Speaking out from the god-forsaken frozen tundra of the Hildebeast.)
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To: Perdogg

i'd say that if you bag al-qaeda's #2 son-in-law and there explosives/wmd expert, that's still a pretty good days work. yea, i may not have taken out my intended target but still a pretty good hit.


18 posted on 01/19/2006 5:54:03 AM PST by mfnorman
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