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To: jmaroneps37
Why it really isn't that great: America self identifies 35% to 18% conservative over liberal. Voters see the Democrats as socialists and reject their ideas.

But they don't act that way. Furthermore, both Gore and Kerry came within a single state of winning. Most people don't like to be labeled extreme on either side--it does not, however, change who they really are.

Florida’s demographics

Overall favors Republicans, true. Just remember: it was won by a hair in 2000. These people are fully capable of supporting a Democrat.

The war in Iraq is not the quagmire the black table -phone media and the Democrats have spent the last three years telling us it is. Americans know this and have stop responding to these lies half truths and distortions.

The war in Iraq is going neither so well as Bush says nor so badly as the Democrats are saying. The problem is that most of the American people hear that it is a quagmire from the media and are starting to believe it. To sum up: Iraq is not a positive subject for the Republicans

Big Labor’s pull back from the Democrats will hurt them. In some races it will be the difference, no matter how the old media will try to spin it.

Any pullback hurts and yes, it may hurt them next election--but probably not on a massive scale.

Howard Dean has crossed the line from “not helpful” to hurtful.

To the contrary, Dean is perfect for the Democrats right where he is. I truly believe that Dean was made the DNC chair to get him out of the way. See, he would always be a threat to win the nomination, but never a threat to go all the way. Most people think he is a little off his rocker, sure. But for most of them, it will not change how they actually vote.

No voter fraud means trouble in many locations for Democrats

True, but voter fraud changes few races and what makes you think it is about to stop?

The loss of Louisiana after the investigation

The "investigation" is a sham. If it does not condemn Bush it will be shoved under a rug. If it succors Bush, the media will declaim it and it will eventually vaporize.

The conservative blogosphere: 527 times stronger

The majority of people still watch CBS/NBC/ABC/CNN (no one watches MSNBC) or read the NYT. The view of the average person is colored far more by the MSM than by the blogosphere.

Blacks are slowly leaving the Democrats

Shrinkage is minor and not enough time has passed to see how things work out. Bush was a state away from losing in 2004 to a BAD candidate. Clinton, evil though he was, was a great politician. Kerry is a pathetic one--and Bush couldn't crush him.

Democrats have come to rely on liars who give them phony poll information.

From an electoral point of view, it doesn't matter.

Redistricting make the numbers impossible

Temporary. Advantage/disadvantage does not stipulate victory.

Doom and gloom, rooting for the terrorists, doesn’t sell very well

But that is not how most people will view it. They will take the doom and gloom as genuine criticism and, except in the most egregious cases, not even realize who the Democrats really favor.

Scandals can carry you just so far

But probably just far enough. All they need to do is make the other person look worse than themselves...and they're succeeding. Most people never see just how flimsy the charges are.

America knows and understands the Democrats stand for:

To the contrary, most Americans (the liberals and then the "moderates") don't understand in the slightest.

Evangelicals are in the game to stay

If the Republicans keep antagonizing them by snubbing their goals and priorities, maybe not.

Banning guns still won’t win elections

But "reducing crime" does, and that's how they sell it.

Cindy Sheehan is the crazy cat woman from the Simpson’s

True. Once again, most people will not project this onto other Democratic candidates.

Queers (that’s their word not mine) marrying? No thanks.

Most people feel that way, but not strongly enough to repudiate the Democrats, who are blatantly in favor of it. The people who regard this as a defining issue would never vote Democrat anyway, so no loss.

The candidate Gap

Disagree. Democrats have some decent prospects on the horizon and certainly are no worse off than the Republicans.

The message Gap

They have a message. Not a meaningful one, but they have it. Because Kerry was a bad candidate who almost won on this "message gap" I think we have to assume that a decent candidate can readily win.

The money Gap

Soon to be closed. Who do the Democrats have behind them for fundraising? Practically all of Hollywood. Quite a force in the monetary arena. The Clintons have also proven that, through legitimate means or no, the Democrats can raise ridiculous amounts of money.

The Economy is now in the best shape it has been in our lifetime

But the media has convinced the "middle-of-the road" people that this is not the case.

The meaning of Bush’s improved voter numbers

He ran against a bad candidate and, if things are as glorious as you say, he should have done a lot better.

The Clinton magic is over

Didn't we say that after Lewinsky? You're a fool to count them out now.

Bungling the Alito hearings

Alito will be confirmed, but I can't bring myself to believe that anything they have done will haunt them. They have done so much smearing in the past that one more time won't make a difference.

The never ending millstones around their neck

Those "millstones" comprise the majority of the party and give them a legitimate chance to win.

45 posted on 01/30/2006 6:54:06 AM PST by Señor Zorro ("The ability to speak does not make you intelligent"--Qui-Gon Jinn)
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To: Señor Zorro
Why it really isn't that great: America self identifies 35% to 18% conservative over liberal. Voters see the Democrats as socialists and reject their ideas.

But they don't act that way. Furthermore, both Gore and Kerry came within a single state of winning.

Ah, but the voters DO act that way. Bush's narrow victories in 2000 and 2004 are a direct result of the winner-take-all electoral college system.

Think of this - if California's 55 electoral votes, and New York's 30-odd, had been somehow reapportioned, the electoral vote count wouldn't have even been close, and Florida in 2000 and Ohio in 2004 would've been more-or-less irrelevant.

65 posted on 01/30/2006 9:39:10 AM PST by Terabitten (If you've abused the public trust, the public should never trust you again. Throw the bums out!)
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