Total BS. People are being cajoled into seeing it because of all the pro-gay press. The five films nominated for Best Picture (or really Best Portrayer of Lies and Filth) have the lowest total gross of any five films in 20 years. No one is seeing this movie.
It's not on the level of Narnia's success but one is a PG family film drawn on a well known set of books with a large budget and major studio. The other is an R-rated art-house film about a ridiculed subject.
By various accounts (even by folks pre-disposed to like the subject matter) the film is boring and tedious like some other Ang Lee projects. Some like NBC Today's Show movie critic Gene Shalit have seen the film as involving a sexual predator rather than as a love story. While his review was quite justifiable by the film's content itself, he was attacked by the "gay mafia" and ultimately apologized for his characterization.