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To: LowRecoil
"A vaccine cannot be developed until it mutates into a form which is highly human to human transmissible"

Not 100% accurate actually there is definitely a benefit in specificity and efficacy if the vaccine is prepared form attenuated virus form such a variant and strain as you suggest. yet the science of vaccination is such that preparation is always proactive NOT reactive. Deploying a vaccine in the middle of a pandemic would be largely a wasted effort.

Far better to prepare a vaccine based on the current H5N1 variant and gain approx as much as 60-70% efficacy from the cross immune benefit.

58 posted on 02/15/2006 3:42:05 AM PST by Kelly_2000 ( Because they stand on a wall and say nothing is going to hurt you tonight. Not on my watch)
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To: Kelly_2000

Hi, Kelly! Dang, am I glad to see you!

Thanks for your remarks, I really appreciate the time you are taking to post them.

Please check my post 54 and let me know what you think...as far as I know, there is no reason an influenza virus must "trade" pathogenicity for transmissibility, yet that story is going around not only here but elsewhere on the internet.

People are *assuming* that by the time H5N1 has gained the h2h2h2h2h ability, it will not have the same death rate as it seems to now--over 50%. I don't see any reason to *assume* that.

I am reminded of the Artic eskimo village where 70% of the population died of H1N1 in 1918...


59 posted on 02/15/2006 3:47:53 AM PST by Judith Anne (Thank you St. Jude for favors granted.)
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