Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: GeorgefromGeorgia
Enjoyed your thoughtful comments on China, Russia, North Korea.

RE:China's Communists have in effect slowly but surely given up on Collectivism and state planning as the central role in China's economy.

The trouble with China is that it is very large and diverse, like the Soviet Union was, and thus not really governable by one single central power player. Since Mao, the governance is by a coalition government.

In the past, the coalition agreed on communism, now they don't. But there are still major players that do retain their ideological purity and they are the ones most likely to act aggressively on their beliefs. They are quite capable of causing major ill to the U.S. and Taiwan (which can draw us into a major conflict) over the short haul, subvertly or overtly.

These elements in the Chinese power grid may even have had a hidden hand in some of the al Qaida activities over the last ten years or so. They cannot be dismissed as they are a major threat.

Also, in China, there are two other factors that can cause aggressiveness to rise from that country. Nationalism is replacing communism and it is a dangerous transition stage. Also the country is becoming laden with extra young men who were indulged only children and cannot find women to marry. These men can make the military more aggressive and risk taking.

As for Russia, as they did not actually adopt a true capitalist economy, the citizenry there is not reaping the benefits of one. As a result, there is a rise in belief among the populace there that they made a mistake in abandoning communism, and political candidates that espouse socialism/communism (and keep ties to Western communists) will be more likely to gain power in the future.

Putin, as a result, has back-pedaled a great deal on his initial openness to Western economic and political ideas and ties in order to keep power.

And there are still many in Russia that wish to regain control of their old empire, if only for the many agricultural and mineral resources that were present in those satellite states.

113 posted on 02/15/2006 10:24:58 PM PST by patriciaruth (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1562436/posts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 58 | View Replies ]


To: patriciaruth
Excellent points. China is a very complex country. While opening up its economy to free enterprise, it has stifled political reform. Russia had the political reform and is closer to a democracy, but went through more traumatic economic reform. Russia under Putin has become more dictatoral, but Putin has quietly instituted laws providing for private property and the building blocks for a western democratic system. Russia just needs more time to develop the kind of civic virtues that we take for granted in the USA. China's problems are as you state that the current leaders in the Communist Party are the hard liners that are resisting political change. Also, nationalism is becoming a problem.

I have forgotten the exact percentages of male to female births in recent years, but it seems to me that the ratio was in the neighborhood of 56-43%, which is an incredible disparity. Where are all those men going to find wives. Some will emigrate to other countries, others may increase the gay population. Others will just be lonely and unhappy.
I lived in the Middle East for 5 years and there was a problem with young Arab men. In order to marry a man must save enough money for the dowry and to establish a household. Many Arab men cannot marry until age 30-35. Since Arab men don't "date" Arab women, their only outlet is to fly to Bangkok for a sex vacation or find male companionship. I think this is one of the primary reasons young Arab men for their discontent.
120 posted on 02/16/2006 4:50:50 AM PST by GeorgefromGeorgia
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 113 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson