Posted on 02/19/2006 8:47:01 PM PST by SmithL
American officials have been quietly probing whether Georgia, situated just northwest of Iran, will be willing to allow Washington to use its military bases and airfields in the event of a military conflict with Teheran, The Jerusalem Post has been told.
The Americans have been putting out feelers, a high-ranking Georgian government foreign affairs official told the Post, in advance of a possible military strike to prevent Iran from achieving nuclear weapons capability.
American reports in recent months, speculating about the possibility of a campaign against Iran because of the failure of diplomatic efforts to thwart a potential nuclear weapons program, have suggested that sustained military action, rather than a single strike, may be required given the number of Iranian nuclear facilities, their divergent locations and Iranian defenses.
Georgian government officials said that Tbilisi fears harsh Iranian military retaliation against the Georgian republic if US forces were to use its territory as a base for strikes against Iran, but nonetheless may feel obligated to accede to such a request, given the country's heavy reliance on US aid and support. The US maintains its own military bases in Georgia.
While the Americans have been testing the waters lately in this direction, the source indicated, no official request of this kind has yet been made.
Georgia is also worried about the possibility of civil unrest, citing the strong opposition by its Muslim minority to the country's participation in the war in Iraq, where there is a limited Georgian military contingent.
Military collaboration with the US would also have "a most negative effect" on relations between Moscow and Tbilisi, which remains strained since the election of Georgia's US-educated president, Mikhail Saakashvili, in 2004.
Saakashvili is considered one of the most consistent US supporters in the post-Soviet bloc and enjoys solid American backing. Indeed, Saakashvili is often accused by Moscow of maintaining an "American outpost in the region."
The Georgian source added that a similar US request might be made to Azerbaijan, an immediate neighbor of Iran and another close American ally.
The close proximity of both countries to Iran makes Tbilisi and Baku desirable partners in a potential alliance against Iran.
Rumors of a possible military alliance between Washington, Tbilisi and Baku first appeared in late 2004, when the Azerbaijani press reported on a meeting between President Ilham Aliyev and senior Pentagon officials, in which the possibility of military cooperation was said to have been discussed.
Both Georgia and Azerbaijan have denied that discussions on such cooperation took place. "We do not hold any negotiations that concern military cooperation with the Americans," Kakha Imnadze, Saakashvili's press secretary, said last May.
Officials in Baku also rejected the reports. Aliyev claimed that he learned of such negotiations from the press. But, it seems, despite the hasty denials, Iran has taken the reports rather seriously.
At the beginning of February, Iranian officials implied that any country that helped the US in military action against it would be subject to harsh retaliation. Neither Georgia nor Azerbaijan possesses sophisticated air defense systems to protect their air space from an Iranian strike, the Georgian government official noted.
While Georgia would allow the US to use its soil for technical support during an attack on Iran, Temuri Yakobashvili, an expert on Georgian strategy, told the Post that Washington had yet to formally ask Tbilisi for assistance in such an attack.
"At this stage there have not been formal requests," said Yakobashvili, head of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies in Tbilisi. Georgia, he said, would be more inclined to allow US forces to use its territory in a military offensive if Iran "did something outrageous against Georgia."
Georgia, he said, would most likely be used not as the base for the attack but as a stopover for the US Air Force as well as a transit spot to stock up on fuel and ammunition. "The US is preparing for a variety of scenarios," Yakobashvili said. "Georgia can be used as a transit or for stockpiling ammunition."
US forces, Yakobashvili said could also use Azerbaijan as the launch pad for their attack. Azerbaijan, which is closer to Iran than Georgia and enjoys strong ties with Israel and Washington, is also home to US radar stations which line its border with Iran.
Azeri officials have, however, ruled out the possibility that their land would be used in a military offensive against Iran, warning that their involvement could trigger harsh Iranian military retaliation against Baku.
"We will probably not let the US use Azerbaijan to launch a strike on Iran," Azeri Minister of Emergency Situations Kamaladdin Heydarov told the Post last week, adding that an attack on Iran would destabilize the entire region.
US officials stationed in the region said they did not need Azerbaijan's or Georgia's cooperation in an attack against Iran. According to the sources, if the US wanted to attack Iran, it could always use Iraq or Afghanistan, where US forces are already heavily deployed, as its base.
Meanwhile, Iranian Intelligence Minister Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejehei on Sunday warned that any Israeli attack against it would be "stupidity" and provoke a swift response, state-run television reported.
Israel has said it would not allow Iran to develop a nuclear capability, and has indicated it might take "necessary steps" if negotiations fail to convince Iran to give up its uranium enrichment program. Last month, Iranian Defense Minister Mostafa Muhammad Najjar said if Israel attacks Iran's nuclear facilities, Iran will respond so strongly that it would put the Jewish state into "an eternal coma" like Prime Minister Ariel Sharon.
Iran resumed small-scale uranium enrichment earlier this month after the International Atomic Energy Agency reported it to the UN Security Council over its controversial nuclear program.
Iran denies US and Israeli accusations that it seeks nuclear weapons, insisting that its nuclear program is intended to produce nuclear fuel to generate electricity.
COOL I hope so I mean Russia Georgia
I'm a bit confused. Of what use would Georgia be in an attack on Iran? There's no shared border and no reason whatsoever to use it even for transit. I mean, transit from where? Russia??
McKinney has vowed to keep US troops out of Atlanta.
ROFL I dont' think that type of Georgia this is Russia Georgia hey let me tell you they are bad** LOL!
Hopefully, they will not cave into Russian bullying and assist us.
LOL guess this means the Braves fans won't be going???
ping
Since the Soviet Russians are our long-lost soul-buddies, they shouldn't have any problem with it.
And, if the Moos in Georgia want to rise up, it's an opportunity to put them down for good.
Win-win I say!
ping
"... officials have been quietly probing ..."
Evidently .. not quietly enough!
All they need is more incentive to be attacked.
What's more, Iran just helped them out with life-saving heat when they had none in the entire country. About two weeks ago.
Life in Georgia is hard enough. Leave them be.
I have been putting off plans for a return trip there in the spring because of safety concerns as it is.
This stuff shouldn't be in the MSM.
Yeah, you'd think that Iraq and Afghanistan would make for perfect staging areas.
Yes and no. It's possible - even likely, I'd say - that this has been leaked intentionally, as a message to the Iranians that we're serious.
American uses Georgian bases to launch attacks against the nuclear facilities russia built for Iran.
Putin is going to be crying in his borsch over this one for sure!!!
Iraq, Afghanistan, and for all intents and purposes the southern shores of the Persian Gulf.
So, we should not ask an ally to help because it might ruin your travel plans?
07 February 2006
"(Iranian Ambassador to Azerbaijan Afshar Suleimani) stressed, the Iranian leadership trusts fully to statements of official Baku about impossibility of using the Azerbaijani territory against Iran. "Blackmailing by intervention to Iran is not serious, because Iran is not Iraq, and no country in the region, no world power would support the US in it," said the Iranian Ambassador."
"The radar stations are equipped with sophisticated military tools that can be used to screen the entire southern and northern parts of the Caspian Sea. Besides tracking nuclear material, ships, and flying objects, the radar stations are capable of monitoring ground activities in the northern and northeastern parts of Iran (with 400-450 kilometer range) and the southern regions of Russia, such as Chechnya and Dagestan. They can also intercept radio and cell phone conversations."
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