Will a majority of real voters, not adults whose 50% of them do not vote, trust the democrat more than Republicans on national security issues? The answer is no.
Will majority of real voters think that Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi are true leaders? The answer is no.
Will Iran become a major issue if not the major issue in this election year and hence gives a big advantage to President Bush and the Republican Party? The answer is yes, most likely Iran will be a very important issue and it will benefit the Republican Party.
Will great and positive events are likely to occur like the capture of Bin Laden or Zawahiri or Zarqawi? It is likely that this can happen and in this case a Republican victory is guaranteed.
Finally will the Republican Party play on the ultimate but real and true fear factor that if the democrats win the House they will certainly impeach President Bush? I think they will and that will greatly energize the base and the independents leaning Republicans.