Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Luis Gonzalez
People who do not believe that Bush's low popularity with the American voter will have a negative impact on Congressional elections are just simply fools.

On the contrary, it's quite foolish to think that polls today have anything to do with how people will vote EIGHT MONTHS away.

Sheesh. Every here of the "October surprise"? If you were smart about politics you'd know that public sentiment can change dramatically in 3 weeks.

49 posted on 03/13/2006 2:07:28 PM PST by Siena Dreaming
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies ]


To: Siena Dreaming
"If you were smart about politics you'd know that public sentiment can change dramatically in 3 weeks."

If I were smart about politics...

That's precious.

By the way, "here" means a place, "hear" means to listen.

If YOU were smart about politics, you would know that on all but one second term midterm election in the past 100 years, the Party of the incumbent president has lost seats in both houses of Congress.

Ever H-E-A-R of "The Sixth Year Swoon"?

I didn't think so:

"During the first 90 years of the 20th century, for example, there were nine midterm elections held during an administration's second term. Each time, the president's party lost House seats. Those losses averaged 33 seats (or more than double the number of seats Democrats must win to gain control). Major second-midterm blowouts for the party occupying the White House included 71 seats lost in 1938 during Franklin Roosevelt's second term, 47 in 1958 during Dwight Eisenhower's second term, 47 in 1966 in the second term of the Kennedy-Johnson administration and 43 seats in 1974 during the Nixon-Ford era." -- Source

How many seats do Democrats need to control the House?

Fifteen.

Now, only one second term President bucked the historic "Swoon" and actually managed to help his party gain seats in the Sixth Year Swoon...that was Bill Clinton in 1998.

Pay attention, it's a big boy's game.

66 posted on 03/13/2006 2:18:10 PM PST by Luis Gonzalez (Some people see the world as they would want it to be, effective people see the world as it is.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson