"Kadima will form a stable coalition. Its policies on unilateral withdrawal, are supported by about 75 of the members of parliament who were elected, and that is without the 9 Arab votes."
I respectfully disagree. I think you are counting everybody aside from Likud and NRP/NU as pro-withdrawal... which is not the case. I do think that Kadima will be able to form a coalition though, since so many people decided to waste their votes on parties that appear right-wing, but in fact will just be pawns traded around in coalition deals.
Well you have labor and kadima at 48 seats, Meretz at 4, so that is 52. The Arabs have 10 seats. That makes 62. The pensioners have 7. That makes 69. Shas favors the same thing. That makes 82, and that is without UTJ. Without the Arabs, its 72. Without Shas it is 59. The hard line nay sayers have about 20 seats. Yisrael Beitenu with 12 seats is a kind of inbetween opportunistic operation. It is a done deal really. Any other spin is just wishful thinking for those who dream the impossible dream, I think.
Kadima 28,
Labor 20,
Shas 13,
Yisrael Beitenu 12,
Likud 11,
NU/NRP 9,
Retirees 7,
UTJ 6,
Meretz 4,
Balad 3,
Hadash 3,
United Arab List 4.