"any chance for a coalition government other than Kadima/Labor?"
The real story of this election is not that the right lost... but that the right was too divided to possibly win. Kadima, while being labelled as "center" or even "center-left" today, is actually made up of the moderate wing of the Likud party. That's an importnat distinction, since most moderate conservatives voted Kadima this time, and are more likely to turn to parties on the right than the left after Kadima implodes (which all centrist parties do in parliamentary democracies, and indeed it already has imploded as 28 seats is only a little more than half what they were expected to garner at one point).
One could actually say that this is a victory for the right, as even without the moderate right, they still could form a government if they could unite. Likud, Israel Beitenu, NRP/NU, Shas, and UTJ are all pretty hard-right parties, and if even some of them could unite, tonight would have been an unprecedented victory for the hard right, rather than a step towards marginalization.
ping
Very interesting analysis, thank you.