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The $64 Billion Question
Front Page Magazine ^ | 4/11/2006 | Bill Steigerwald

Posted on 04/11/2006 1:34:32 PM PDT by Paul Ross

The $64 Billion Question
By Bill Steigerwald
FrontPageMagazine.com | April 11, 2006


Spend 30 seconds on the website of the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. Worse yet, try to get a human being who works for USCIS.gov to answer a phone. You'll soon realize how horribly frustrating, complicated and bureaucratic everything about our government immigration system is.

Amazingly, Steve Camarota has not gone bonkers from devoting his career to studying this maddening world of immigration policy. Camarota is director of research at the Center for Immigration Studies, a think tank devoted exclusively to researching and analyzing the economic, social, demographic and fiscal impacts of immigration on the United States.

Non-neutral in the raging political war over how to fix our broken borders and our immigration laws, CIS says it is "animated by a pro-immigrant, low-immigration vision which seeks fewer immigrants but a warmer welcome for those admitted." I talked to Camarota last Tuesday by telephone from his offices in Washington:

Q: If there are 12 million illegal immigrants in the country, how many legal immigrants are there?
A: Well, total foreign-born now is around 36 or 37 million. If you go with the 12 million illegals, the legal immigration is about 25 million. That doesn’t mean they are all citizens.

Q: Is it still true that most illegals live in California, Texas, Florida, New York, Illinois and New Jersey?
A: It’s still very concentrated. The immigrant population is spreading. But the top three states -- California, New York and Texas -- have about half the total. But it’s getting bigger everywhere. It is more than 200,000 in at least 12 states now.

Q: And we’re talking about illegals -- “undocumented” as we want to say?
A: Yes. I like to call them “pre-citizens.”

Q: What percent of illegals are Latino?
A: About 80 percent-plus are from Latin America.

Q: I’ve heard somebody say that half of the people who get here come across the southern border and the other half overstay their visas, come by plane or are students who don’t go home, whatever.
A: The last time anybody tried to estimate was back in 2000 and the INS said that, as far as they could tell, it was a one-third/two-thirds split. One-third overstayed and two-thirds were what they called EWIs: Entrance Without Inspection. Mostly, but not exclusively, around 90 to 95 percent came across the southern border. The rest were people who slipped across the northern border or who came in on ships in one way or another.

Q: So a fence along the southern border would do an important job of eliminating illegal immigration?
A: It is a critically important component.

Q: When we talk about social services and whether illegals pay more in taxes than they get in services, the number $10 billion a year is often used.
A: The $10 billion is what I estimated. They use $10 billion more in services at the federal level than they paid in taxes. ... The kicker for me is, if we legalize illegals and they began to pay taxes and use services like legal immigrants with the same level of education, the cost would roughly triple. An unskilled illegal immigrant is costly but an unskilled legal immigrant is a fiscal disaster because, although presumably he is being paid on the books and he pays his taxes like he’s supposed to, he is now eligible for everything, or a lot of things, but he still doesn't make any money.

That’s the problem. The reason immigrants create a fiscal cost is not because they are illegal. They create a fiscal cost because they have very little education and people with very little education don’t pay much in taxes, because they don’t make very much. But they tend to use a lot in services. If we legalize them, it makes the problem much worse.

Think about this: every unskilled worker who’s paid on the books mostly gets our $32 billion Earned Income Tax Credit. That means that every unskilled worker comes with a bill. That’s one of the reasons the costs explode so much if you legalize illegal immigrants. Right now, I estimate that illegals are getting one-tenth of what they are entitled to but if they began to get the EIT fee like legal immigrants, with the same level of education, well, the costs would go up 10 fold. That’s a welfare program a lot of conservatives like, but it’s also one that’s very expensive.

Q: Is it true that illegals don’t take advantage of social and medical services as those in their same socioeconomic class?
A: Put a different way: Let's assume uninsured immigrants use 10 percent less in health care than uninsured natives. It doesn’t change the fact that they are 600 percent more likely to be uninsured in the first place. Roughly about 13 percent of natives are uninsured, but about two-thirds of illegals are uninsured. So it's probably true every illegal is using about 10 percent less than his uninsured native-born counterpart. But it doesn’t change the fact that he is 600 times more likely to be uninsured in the first place. That is the kicker.

But the biggest kicker to keep in mind is that the problem here is that unskilled immigration is simply incompatible with a modern American economy that doesn’t offer very much to unskilled workers and the modern American welfare state.

Now, if you’d like to get rid of the welfare state, OK. But always remember this: It’s not about cash-assistance welfare, which is the thing that really ticks people off. If you want to save money when it comes to illegals, you have to be prepared to get rid of Medicaid, free school lunches for poor kids and things like the Women Infants and Children’s program. Just say the name of the program and you can guess how quick we’re going to get rid of that one.

I’m not making the case for it. I'm saying here is my position: If you want to have large-scale unskilled immigration, then you better get rid of the welfare state first.

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TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aliens; amnesty; illegallist; immigration
Dennis Prager and Hugh Hewitt suddenly got on board the Amnesty Train last night with their concerns over the "politics" of the future.

What they have completely failed to take into consideration...is the adverse economic consequences that flow from granting these illegals an Amnesty.

This needs broad dissemination to get out over and above roar put out by the Spin Operation of Team Bush...and the Usual Suspects Slant over at the MSM.

It won't be pretty.

1 posted on 04/11/2006 1:34:33 PM PDT by Paul Ross
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To: Paul Ross

Yes. I like to call them “pre-citizens.”

Tells you everything you need to know.


2 posted on 04/11/2006 2:04:01 PM PDT by PeterPrinciple (Seeking the truth here folks.)
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To: Paul Ross

It's wrong to suggest that Americans bear the brunt of illegal immigration in anything approaching an even level.

The fact is that for the most part illegal immigration REDISTRIBUTES something like 280 billion dollars yearly from those working blue-collar Americans to the more monied classes. The people who should REALLY be pulling their hair out about illegal immigration are the union, construction and factory workers whose tax monies go to subsidize illegal aliens who also depress their wages. But of course these suckers for the most part support the Democratic party that encourages this phenomenon to happen.


3 posted on 04/11/2006 2:06:47 PM PDT by Altair333 (Please no more 'Bush's fault' posts- the joke is incredibly old)
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To: PeterPrinciple
“pre-citizens.” Tells you everything you need to know.

He's referring to the legals.

From the context, I don't believe he means to ascribe the same status to the illegals. His whole thesis is that wholesale legalization would be a fiscal calamity.

4 posted on 04/11/2006 2:07:31 PM PDT by Paul Ross (Hitting bullets with bullets successfully for 35 years!)
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To: PeterPrinciple

and a drug dealer is now an "undocumented pharmacist".


5 posted on 04/11/2006 2:15:33 PM PDT by Rakkasan1 (they love you in Mexico until you pay in pesos.)
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To: Paul Ross

The Mexican constitution does not allow foreigners to participate in the political affairs of the country.

That ban applies to participation in demonstrations.


6 posted on 04/11/2006 2:19:48 PM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: Paul Ross

My wife is Japanese and 10 years ago we had to deal with INS while applying for permanent residency for her. We did not hire a lawyer and did all the paperwork ourselves which honestly wasn't all that dificult, (no piece of cake either though). What was infuriating however was the incompetency of the INS. Appointments would have to be set up months in advance. Getting simple forms was very dificult. I remember one time going through security and waiting in line for an hour to get a form only to be told they were out of them and to come back later in the week. All in all it was about the worst bureaucracy I have ever dealt with.


7 posted on 04/11/2006 2:29:12 PM PDT by elmer fudd
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To: elmer fudd
All in all it was about the worst bureaucracy I have ever dealt with.

I've had to deal with them too for others. Agreed.

8 posted on 04/11/2006 2:33:57 PM PDT by Paul Ross (Hitting bullets with bullets successfully for 35 years!)
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To: Rakkasan1
and a drug dealer is now an "undocumented pharmacist".

LOL

9 posted on 04/11/2006 2:39:47 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: Paul Ross

ping for reference.


10 posted on 05/21/2006 8:22:50 PM PDT by rottndog (WOOF!!!!--Keep your "compassion" away from my wallet!)
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To: Paul Ross

bump


11 posted on 05/23/2006 12:08:03 AM PDT by NoCurrentFreeperByThatName
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