In the general election Bilbray will pick most if not all the Minutemen votes, assuming they don't sit on their hands come Nov. Busby will lose by 8 - 10 percent.
That'll add at least another 4-5% to the margin of victory, and the turnout will be much higher, too. I think the Secy. of State here estimated turnout around 30% - bad even for a primary. But I think a lot of dems were discouraged by the Angelides-Wesly slimefest, and a lot of independents just didn't bother (typical).