"1. Plenty of Senators have been nominated (or come very close), so it makes sense to think they'll continue to be nominated. Kerry, (McCain), (Bradley), Dole ....
2. Senators can win the presidency. It's stiffs who have trouble. There just happens to be a lot of overlap between the two (ex. Kerry, Dole, Gore....). JFK was a Senator, but not a stiff."
I didn't say that that nomination is impossible. I simply said that history is not in their favor.
And I said that was incorrect. Look at the last three elections. Four nominating contests: Senator Dole defeats Forbes and others, Governor Bush outduels Senator McCain, VP and ex-Senator Gore outlasts ex-Senator Bradley, Senator Kerry defeats Senator Edwards.
Before that you had two governors, a VP, Senator, Governor, Senator-turned Prez, Governor, Senator, Senator, VP, Senator, VP, Senator, VP. I think that's pretty much right.