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Global Warming Link to Hurricane Intensity Questioned
National Geographic News ^ | July 28, 2006 | John Roach

Posted on 07/28/2006 3:25:36 PM PDT by proud_yank

An expert with the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is questioning the connection between climate change and the appearance of more intense hurricanes in recent years.

Historical data on hurricanes is too crude to determine long-term trends in intensity, says Christopher Landsea, a science and operations officer with NOAA's National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida.

Extreme hurricanes like Katrina were likely as common around the world 30 years ago as they are today, Landsea says. But since satellite imagery was poorer, storm intensities were underreported.

Landsea is the lead author of a commentary in today's issue of the research journal Science.

The commentary rebuts a string of papers published in the last 12 months that link global warming with a surge in the number of extreme tropical cyclones over the past 30 to 40 years. (Related story: "Warming Oceans Are Fueling Stronger Hurricanes, Study Finds" [March 16, 2006].)

Better Resolution

Right or wrong, the flooded neighborhoods, floating corpses, and stranded survivors in the wake of Hurricane Katrina have come to symbolize the type of devastation the world can expect as global warming fuels bigger, more intense tropical storms.

(Get more information at the National Geographic magazine special feature on Hurricane Katrina.)

Satellite images of Katrina over the Gulf of Mexico in August 2005 feature prominently in former U.S. Vice President Al Gore's recent global warming documentary An Inconvenient Truth.

But is global warming really fueling a surge in extreme tropical storms?

In 1975, Landsea says, two geostationary satellites watched the weather with coarse, 5.6-mile (9-kilometer) resolution. Today eight satellites with 2.5-mile (4-kilometer) resolution have that task.

"Twenty, thirty years ago we didn't have either the number of or resolution in satellites or the variety of other ways to monitor [hurricanes] that we do now," Landsea said.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.nationalgeographic.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: alarmism; alarmists; climatechange; environment; environmentalists; globalwarming; globalwarmingping; globullwarming; greenhousegas; panic; pollution; skyisfalling; weather
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Historical data on hurricanes is too crude to determine long-term trends in intensity, says Christopher Landsea

Along with most of the doom & gloom prophecy this bears repeating.
1 posted on 07/28/2006 3:25:38 PM PDT by proud_yank
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To: proud_yank; DaveLoneRanger

ping


2 posted on 07/28/2006 3:27:50 PM PDT by proud_yank (If you think healthcare is expensive now, wait until its free.)
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To: proud_yank
>>An expert with the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is questioning the connection between climate change and the appearance of more intense hurricanes in recent years.<<

It should be questioned - all these links and pronouncements should be checked to which effect are real and how large they are - links that aren't true should be debunked -thats the way scientific review works.
3 posted on 07/28/2006 3:31:15 PM PDT by gondramB (Named must your fear be before banish it you can.)
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To: gondramB
thats the way scientific review works.

Unfortunately that isn't the way liberals & socialists work. Remember: "If they facts don't support the theory, they must be disregarded".
4 posted on 07/28/2006 3:32:50 PM PDT by proud_yank (If you think healthcare is expensive now, wait until its free.)
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To: proud_yank

>>
Unfortunately that isn't the way liberals & socialists work. Remember: "If they facts don't support the theory, they must be disregarded".<<

Thats why its important that people who discard their data when it doesn't match their theory get double checked and found out.


5 posted on 07/28/2006 3:35:40 PM PDT by gondramB (Named must your fear be before banish it you can.)
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To: proud_yank
How many hurricanes this year?

Oh that's right only two tropical storms in the Atlantic this year. Must be global warming.

6 posted on 07/28/2006 3:36:11 PM PDT by crazyhorse46
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To: proud_yank
Global Warming Strings call for the chart.

What is the chart? The one that shows global warming is REAL and has been REAL for a long time before human activity on this planet. We are not the cause of it, and won't be the solution for it.


Data provided by N.O.A.A
7 posted on 07/28/2006 3:37:55 PM PDT by Paloma_55 (I may be a hateful bigot, but I still love you)
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To: proud_yank
Along with most of the doom & gloom prophecy this bears repeating.

Can't they dig up some more ice cores and give us a perfect history of hurricanes that meets their agenda?

8 posted on 07/28/2006 3:40:12 PM PDT by Always Right
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To: Paloma_55
Dang dinosaurs and their SUVs!
9 posted on 07/28/2006 3:40:50 PM PDT by crazyhorse46
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To: gondramB
Thats why its important that people who discard their data when it doesn't match their theory get double checked and found out.

Thank God for FreeRepublic! Lord knows America's media wouldn't touch it.
10 posted on 07/28/2006 3:42:03 PM PDT by proud_yank (If you think healthcare is expensive now, wait until its free.)
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To: proud_yank

This is so obvious as to be ridiculous. Last year's 26 storms or whatever the count was included numerous one day wonders that 30 years ago would never have been noticed or named.
I've been pointing out this fact to global warmers for years, but there's no arguing with them.


11 posted on 07/28/2006 3:45:28 PM PDT by jsh3180
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To: proud_yank

Wouldn't the Farmers Almanac have records of past hurricanes ?


12 posted on 07/28/2006 3:45:51 PM PDT by John Lenin (It was like going to church, except Ozzy Osbourne was there)
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To: Paloma_55

Without human activity -- specifically agriculture -- the world would probably be about 6,000 years into an ice age.


13 posted on 07/28/2006 3:48:50 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA


Without human activity -- specifically agriculture -- the world would probably be about 6,000 years into an ice age.


I beg to differ. If you look at that chart closely, we are in the final stages of a normal heat cycle. The ice age will start in another few hundred to a thousand years, but human activity has zippo to do with it. It is more likely due to Milankovitch Forcing effects of orbital variation around the sun which are gravitational in nature and beyond human capacity to affect.


14 posted on 07/28/2006 3:53:16 PM PDT by Paloma_55 (I may be a hateful bigot, but I still love you)
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To: proud_yank
This whole report has to be totally bogus!!!!

I know this must be a false report based on a number of items that I have uncovered during my very detailed and exhaustive studies on the subject.

First of all, we need to remember the first rule or law of Global Warming studies states that "You should never, and I mean NEVER!!!!!, Admit that there might be something called junk science."

Secondly, Somebody said somewhere that the "Strength of hurricanes are increasing because of global warming," which leads to the second unbreakable law of Global Warming studies which states, "Never question that somebody!"

And thirdly. and probably most importantly, The great scientist Albert Gore said so!!!! Which leads to the third rule or law of Global Warming studies which states "Never question scientists named Al Gore.

15 posted on 07/28/2006 4:02:26 PM PDT by R_Kangel ("Please insert witty tagline here")
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To: Paloma_55

Apparently the conclusion presented from that data in al Gore's movie is that CO2 is a leading indicator for temperature.


16 posted on 07/28/2006 4:06:16 PM PDT by gondramB (Named must your fear be before banish it you can.)
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To: R_Kangel
ROFLMAO! Are those the laws of Global WarmingTM, or Global Socialism??
17 posted on 07/28/2006 4:07:24 PM PDT by proud_yank (If you think healthcare is expensive now, wait until its free.)
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To: gondramB


Apparently the conclusion presented from that data in al Gore's movie is that CO2 is a leading indicator for temperature.

and oddly enough, the N.O.A.A. scientific data shows CO2 lagging global warming and cooling.


18 posted on 07/28/2006 4:28:30 PM PDT by Paloma_55 (I may be a hateful bigot, but I still love you)
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To: proud_yank

There has been a discussion on global warming in my local paper... I am thinking of agreeing with the Gorediots and suggesting that "OK..man created global warming. But, the data shows that global warming has cycled before and is more likely due to Milankovitch Forcing of the environment which occurs when the earth changes its orbit due to gravitational effects of other planets... THEREFORE, rather than limiting the CO2 emissions of the USA and letting other countries pollute till their eyes melt... we should focus on the GRAVITY side of things.

Everyone who believes in Human Caused Global Warming should move to China. This way, we solve two problems at the same time. We shift the center of gravity on the earth and we get rid of a bunch of socialist idiots!


19 posted on 07/28/2006 4:33:50 PM PDT by Paloma_55 (I may be a hateful bigot, but I still love you)
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To: crazyhorse46
How many hurricanes this year?

Oh that's right only two tropical storms in the Atlantic this year. Must be global warming.

You beat me to it. I wonder why there hasn't been ANY mention of this "Inconvenient Truth" by the Global Warming crowd. This has been a slow starting Hurricane season, at least compared to last year.

20 posted on 07/28/2006 4:43:24 PM PDT by SteamShovel
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