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I wonder if Calderon could call AMLO's bluff and end up starting with a much stronger mandate and the reputation as a wise leader?

Here's the idea: He c ould declare that they should wait for the final report from the election commission, but given the closeness, the potential for unrest, and the irresponsible actions of some, he would be willing to agree to an annullment and a revote. With the recent poll showing that 59% of Mexicans view AMLO as having acted irresponsibly, vs. 28% viewing Calderon that way, it seems that a revote would result in a clearer Calderon victory. Or is there a risk that PRI voters would shift to AMLO? Also would have to make sure that the PRD couldn't pull off some major vote fraud this time around.

Perhaps too risky, but also perhaps a chance to appear to be a Solomon if he pulls it off.

That is an interesting hypothetical Diddle E. Squat, but my response would be about exactly what you seem to project in light of what you have posted regarding the post-election slide AMLO has undergone, I think Calderon would surface as the clear favorite.

Regarding the PRI voters, I think they would likely split about 60%-40% in favor of Calderon if they are forced to choose, but remember that if the election is annulled all the candidates, including the PRI's Roberto Madrazo, will be back on the ballot. PRI voters are still ubiquitously spread out across the country, but they are not well-disposed to disorder, and that is what AMLO represents, so I expect that the majority of PRI voters who would break ranks would do so out of fear of AMLO more than anything else. AMLO's potential voters among the PRI are those who remain in the southern and central parts of the country and among the old, steadfast partisans of the PRI who are still grinding their teeth at PAN for taking them out of control. But they are not very large in numbers.

And PRD vote fraud is the most untalked-about issue of all. They undoubtedly are guilty of it in some of the precincts in the Yucatan states and perhaps in the central part of the country too. PAN has presented challenges to some of the returns in these areas to the Electoral Tribunal. But to sum up my response on that issue, I don't think it will be as likely as many might think. One of the reasons there was so little vote fraud this time around, is that you had a truly competitive race and everyone was watching everybody else. It worked, in spite of what AMLO claims to the contrary.