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Tropical Storm Chris
NOAA ^ | 2006-08-01 | Forecaster Stewart

Posted on 08/01/2006 2:44:58 AM PDT by Clive

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To: Clive
Here is advisory 11 as of 0500 AST 2006-08-03:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 030838
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
500 AM AST THU AUG 03 2006

...CHRIS WEAKENING IN A HURRY...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA... AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI TO CABO ENGANO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...505 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND AND ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF CHRIS WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PUERTO RICO. TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES THROUGH TODAY.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...20.3 N...66.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


61 posted on 08/03/2006 2:15:03 AM PDT by Clive
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To: Clive
Here is advisory 11A as of 0800 AST 2006-08-03:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 031141
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
800 AM AST THU AUG 03 2006

...CHRIS BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI TO CABO ENGANO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PUERTO RICO. TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES THROUGH TODAY.

REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...20.5 N...66.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


62 posted on 08/03/2006 6:41:00 AM PDT by Clive
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To: steve8714
The heat spell two weeks ago caused a withdrawal from Natural Gas, which is unusual in summer.

Transit buses (NYC and other places) and the Post Office already run vehicles off natural gas (fleets).

Alaska is trying to build a pipeline, but that is being stalled because of politics - quite a bit of excess capacity in Alaska for Natural Gas - even without drilling in ANWR.

63 posted on 08/04/2006 12:25:27 PM PDT by topher (Let us return to old-fashioned morality - morality that has stood the test of time...)
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