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Al Qaeda’s Strategy for defeating the US(Manual translated and posted to the Web)
NRO ^ | Oct. 1, 2006 | Candace de Russy

Posted on 08/03/2006 10:03:58 PM PDT by FairOpinion

A 2004 al-Qaeda Strategy Manual can now be downloaded at West Point’s Combating Terrorism Center website here.

The translation of this manual by al-Qaeda strategist, Abu Bakr Naji, was completed in May by the Olin Institute for Strategic Studies at Harvard University.


TOPICS: War on Terror
KEYWORDS: abubakrnaji; alqaeda; alqaedastrategy; alqaida; bakrnaji; globaljihad; gwot; handbook; jihad; jihadinamerica; manual; manuals; naji; terrorhandbook; terrorism; terrorists; terrormanual; waronterror; wot
The URL of the link is: http://www.ctc.usma.edu/naji.asp
1 posted on 08/03/2006 10:03:59 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: Cindy; jveritas

PING


"One reason for the neglect of works in this genre is that they are written in Arabic and they are often quite lengthy. Moreover, they are much more difficult to translate than the usual diatribes by Bin Ladin and other prominent jihadi leaders. Unlike the latter, which are meant for popular consumption, jihadi strategic texts require translators to have a familiarity with Western strategic studies (from which they draw heavily), medieval Islamic history and theology, and contemporary developments in the jihadi movement. The reward for overcoming these obstacles is immeasurable—these works are brilliant (if diabolical) studies of global insurgency written by its most intellectually-gifted participants. While it is still an open question as to whether these texts guide the actions of foot soldiers, they are certainly read by the jihadi intelligentsia and they remain the best source for understanding the nature of the jihadi movement."


2 posted on 08/03/2006 10:05:03 PM PDT by FairOpinion (Dem Foreign Policy: SURRENDER to our enemies. Real conservatives don't help Dems get elected.)
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To: FairOpinion; Txsleuth; Mo1; Peach; jveritas; AliVeritas; MNJohnnie; rodguy911; onyx; ...

Bump!


3 posted on 08/03/2006 10:10:38 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Rats) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: FairOpinion

Good gravy, the damn thing is 268 pages! I guess when you're sitting in a cave brushing the flies from your nostrils all day you don't really have much else to do than write diatribes spanning hundreds of pages.

(sigh) But I have to read it anyway I reckon. Thanks for the link.


4 posted on 08/03/2006 10:19:35 PM PDT by Virulas (Your modern Democratic Party - a cult in search of a personality.)
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To: FairOpinion
Step 1: Infiltrate the MSM. (Check)
5 posted on 08/03/2006 10:21:54 PM PDT by msnimje (Uni-FAIL - UN peace keeping force in Lebanon has lived up to its name.)
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To: Virulas

Once you are done, or even before you can read the much shorter ( 25 pages) and interesting

Stealing Al Qaeda's Playbook


also from the same link ( at the bottom)


6 posted on 08/03/2006 10:23:58 PM PDT by FairOpinion (Dem Foreign Policy: SURRENDER to our enemies. Real conservatives don't help Dems get elected.)
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To: FairOpinion; All

Never underestimate the enemy. The fact that these guys are intelligently, rationally approaching the conflict from their perspective (beheadings, killings, and bombings as part of a grand strategy including directed propaganda, and worldwide strategic studies), implies one and only thing to me - these people are monsters that must be eradicated, by any and all means available. We are at war for our very survival. When will the western world realize this ? But then - most of us here have known this for a while. Seems to me the more pressing enemy is liberalism, socialism, communism and associated PC among our own ranks. Take that away, and the rest of us will muster the will to do what must be done, just as the WWII generation did, without question. The enemy is counting on elements within our own societies to constrain us from using the full capability at our disposal. That is the only way they have a chance of winning. Unsheath the sword, show them the true face and meaning of war as western world invented and perfected over the centuries, and I am willing to say that within 6 months we would not have this problem anymore.


7 posted on 08/03/2006 10:24:35 PM PDT by farlander (Strategery - sure beats liberalism!)
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To: FairOpinion
Thanks, It looks like it is going to be difficult reading.

There seems to be a lot of superfulous veribiage.

8 posted on 08/03/2006 10:28:33 PM PDT by AFreeBird (... Burn the land and boil the sea's, but you can't take the skies from me.)
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To: FairOpinion

bttt


9 posted on 08/03/2006 10:29:58 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: farlander

Your assessment is excellent.

While they may employ not very bright expandable people, they have a well crafted strategy, to achieve particular goals, and they are going about that with deliberation.


10 posted on 08/03/2006 10:30:01 PM PDT by FairOpinion (Dem Foreign Policy: SURRENDER to our enemies. Real conservatives don't help Dems get elected.)
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To: FairOpinion

I'll end up reading both. The longer one is actually pretty interesting. I got into it a good ways and then realized that it reads like one of the many history textbooks I read in college. At the very least the worldviews are the same, not to mention the warped sense of world events and faulty notions of causality.


11 posted on 08/03/2006 10:30:06 PM PDT by Virulas (Your modern Democratic Party - a cult in search of a personality.)
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To: Virulas

Try the shorter 25 page version as an appetizer. I obviously haven't read the 268 pg version, but a great many of the steps detailed early on in the 25 pager have indeed been implemented (by the other side) Veracity? Authenticity? Who knows.


12 posted on 08/03/2006 10:30:35 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (You're never more than a half-step away from a good note.)
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To: FairOpinion
Oh, and I love the title: "Management of Savagery"

Savages, that's what they are alright.

13 posted on 08/03/2006 10:31:02 PM PDT by AFreeBird (... Burn the land and boil the sea's, but you can't take the skies from me.)
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To: FairOpinion

Clearly they understand the strategic value (to them) of a Ted Kennedy or a Hillary Clinton or a John Kerry or a John Murtha or the New York Times undermining the US war effort and resolve from within.


14 posted on 08/03/2006 10:33:12 PM PDT by The Electrician ("Government is the only enterprise in the world which expands in size when its failures increase.")
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To: farlander

This confirms your assessment:


"In his 2004 work, The
Management of Barbarism,* Naji urges fellow jihadis to study Western works
on management, military principles, political theory, and sociology in order
to borrow strategies that have worked for Western governments and to
discern their weaknesses.2 For example, Naji urges his readers to study
works on administration so that they will be able to administer regions that
fall into political chaos (see below).3 Military principles should be studied
so that the jihadis may better engage in asymmetrical warfare.4"

From the work analyzing it, "Stealing AQ's Playbook) (link on same page)


15 posted on 08/03/2006 10:33:42 PM PDT by FairOpinion (Dem Foreign Policy: SURRENDER to our enemies. Real conservatives don't help Dems get elected.)
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To: FairOpinion

Thanks a bunch Fair Opinion.
I'll add it to my other manual links.


16 posted on 08/03/2006 10:34:44 PM PDT by Cindy
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To: FairOpinion

Got it already, but thanks for the link.
I appreciate it.


17 posted on 08/03/2006 10:40:13 PM PDT by Cindy
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

I'm only on the 20th page of the longer one but it is positively jarring. What might be most alarming is that I find myself agreeing with the critiques made on western (American) society - the ones they propose to exploit, and indeed are exploiting already.


18 posted on 08/03/2006 10:42:13 PM PDT by Virulas (Your modern Democratic Party - a cult in search of a personality.)
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To: The Electrician

"Clearly they understand the strategic value (to them) of a Ted Kennedy or a Hillary Clinton or a John Kerry or a John Murtha or the New York Times undermining the US war effort and resolve from within."


===

Very definitely. I didn't read the long manual, but I read the 25 page analysis/assessment -- which I recommend highly to give people a general idea, it can be scanned pretty quickly. In that they do mention the importance of public perceptions:

"Furthermore, the U.S. must recast its ineffectual public diplomacy efforts." -- of course it's kind of hard to "recats the public diplomacy efforts", when US Senators, Congressmen and the Media is acting as mouthpieces for the terrorists and undermine our efforts in the War on Terror.


19 posted on 08/03/2006 10:44:06 PM PDT by FairOpinion (Dem Foreign Policy: SURRENDER to our enemies. Real conservatives don't help Dems get elected.)
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To: Virulas

Related article -- it would be interesting to read that in full:

The Present and Future Scenario of al-Qaeda by Abu Jandal al-Azdi

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1677514/posts

A document presenting a present and future scenario of al-Qaeda, including strikes within the United States, written by Saudi scholar and al-Qaeda ideology Abu Jandal al-Azdi AKA Fares Ahmad al-Shuwayl al-Zahrani, who was imprisoned by Saudi authorities in November 2004, was recently distributed to the password-protected al-Qaeda-affiliated forum, al-Boraq.


direct link to the article:

http://www.siteinstitute.org/bin/articles.cgi?ID=publications200906&Category=publications&Subcategory=0


20 posted on 08/03/2006 10:48:16 PM PDT by FairOpinion (Dem Foreign Policy: SURRENDER to our enemies. Real conservatives don't help Dems get elected.)
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To: FairOpinion

Ooo thanks! Much much reading to do.


21 posted on 08/03/2006 10:52:58 PM PDT by Virulas (Your modern Democratic Party - a cult in search of a personality.)
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To: FairOpinion

bump


22 posted on 08/03/2006 10:53:00 PM PDT by griffin (Love Jesus, No Fear!)
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To: FairOpinion

Let me summarize. The muzzies have to be given victory because they most certainly can't take it.


23 posted on 08/03/2006 10:58:39 PM PDT by Ajnin (I)
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To: The Electrician

We need to send a copy of this to the Dems you mention in yor post.


24 posted on 08/03/2006 11:03:00 PM PDT by sonic109
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To: Virulas
Totally agreed, jarring. And one has to wonder, or at least I do, is there the capacity on our side to develop the same or greater degree of insight into their jihad-culture and thought processes that the texts seem to have attained wrt Western thinking? And if so, would there really be any functionality? Clearly, these texts weren't written by camel-humping savages. They arguably govern the actions of C-H savages, but the strategic thinking is very sophisticated in its diabolical, Machiavellian way. I'm absolutely not advocating an extended period of kumbaya here, I'm asking the question rhetorically. IOW, this so-called culture reveres things that Western society utterly reviles: death, revenge, absolute conformity and submission to a pre-medieval and inflexible and unchallengeable way of life. And if that state cannot be attained by them, then death is the preferred outcome. How can we outthink that? Most likely, we can't. Ergo we go to "kill them all", which only falls into their stated gameplan and is a strategy we're at best second-comers to. Checkmate?

Imagine time-transporting back to 1938, when by most reckonings few really understood the depth of evil the Nazis were capable of and the horror that was about to unfold; perhaps that was an ironic strength. The free world ended up rising to the occasion; and might not have in 1938 had 1945 Auschwitz and 1942 Leningrad pictures been available at that point.

25 posted on 08/03/2006 11:15:45 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (You're never more than a half-step away from a good note.)
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To: FairOpinion
I am bit mystified by some of the authors' conclusions in the handbook. For instance, they acknowledge that the jihadis' ultimate goal is to re-establish the caliphate. But then they argue that it is a mistake for the United States to attempt to use direct action to prevent this from happening -- ignoring the fact that if our actions in Iraq are successful then it will be impossible for the caliphate to be re-established.

They also argue that direct action in Iraq and Afghanistan has been good for the jihadi movement. But they don't base this conclusion on anything other than the word of certain jihadist scribblers. And in positing such a conclusion, they completely ignore the fact that bin Laden himself traced the growing potency of the jihadi movement to our failure to respond to their earlier attacks on us. Scholars such as McCants and Brachman can't have it both ways. If they are to maintain their credibility, they can't point to jihadi theories when they support the authors' conclusions and then completely ignore the chief jihadist's theory that Muslims will back the strong horse over the weak horse everytime.

If that theory were applied by the authors to the current reality, one wonders what conclusion they would reach? Would they really say that the more jihadi leaders we kill or capture, the stronger the movement grows? Would they really conclude that the growth in potency of a military force can be directly attributed to how many of its leaders are living the lives of wanted bank robbers?

Finally, after 9/11, I just don't understand how any thinking American can argue that the best approach to take with people who are attempting to kill us is to attempt to use proxies to go after them. That didn't work for the Israelis when they tried to use Arafat to keep a lid on Hamas and it hasn't worked for us in attempting to use Mussharef to keep a lid on the jihadists in Wazirstan. Simply put, using an enemy to kill an another enemy that is already attacking you, is a fool's suicide pact.

The lessons of history are clear. When you are in a fight with the devil, you don't have the luxury of farming out the fight to the devil's acolyte

26 posted on 08/03/2006 11:35:23 PM PDT by vbmoneyspender
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

That's a negative. A 'kill them all' strategy makes us the winners, by a mile. People just don't realize/don't remember what is possible when a war machine assumes counter-population posture, like Axis and Allies did in WWII. It was only 60 years back, how quickly things are forgotten. I *guarantee* you, make an example of *a* city somewhere, and things would change drastically. State publicly - *any* terrorist attack on US or allied European soil, and we incinerate a city with conventional weapons. Publish a list, and say we will choose at random. From my perspective, their propaganda and fascist/religeous upbringing have done far more than we ever could in order to win someone's hart/mind. That is impossible, not to mention futile and counterproductive, as Machiavelli said - better to be feared then loved. We'll never be loved. Therefore, as they already believe we're mosters out to kill them, let's play the part. One city for each act of terrorism on allied soil. I guarantee that would be enough. Random choice from a list of densely populated cities would be extremely effective as a deterrent. Number of large cities would not be able to effectively evacuate following a terrorist strike, and, it would motivate the largest number of people to stop the extremists within their own countries.


27 posted on 08/03/2006 11:47:14 PM PDT by farlander (Strategery - sure beats liberalism!)
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To: vbmoneyspender
" they acknowledge that the jihadis' ultimate goal is to re-establish the caliphate. But then they argue that it is a mistake for the United States to attempt to use direct action to prevent this from happening -- ignoring the fact that if our actions in Iraq are successful then it will be impossible for the caliphate to be re-established."

I myself see no incongruency in this line of thought, they are 100% certain that our efforts will be UNsuccessful. Nobody can predict whether we will or will not be successful, but, that being said, if we assume the text is genuine, it would appear that we are playing more by their gamebook than ours. Now, at this moment, in what I think most would consider a work in progress. And really, that's my takeaway bottom line.

"They also argue that direct action in Iraq and Afghanistan has been good for the jihadi movement."

I know it's quite the liberal argument, but at some level, the idea that our actions have galvanized the other side has some merit, wouldn't (or would) you say? We may characterize their actions as desperate, vile, murderous, chaotic, etc; but those reactions on our part appear to mesh with their endgame strategy. We're definitely outkilling them, but they are arguably outchaosing us.

"But they don't base this conclusion on anything other than the word of certain jihadist scribblers. And in positing such a conclusion, they completely ignore the fact that bin Laden himself traced the growing potency of the jihadi movement to our failure to respond to their earlier attacks on us."

But I think that one has to consider that the post-UBL jihadi movement has morphed along with the new improved US response. I haven't developed a full opinion on this tome, I just find it remarkably lucid, whether it's accurate or coherent in all respects or not.

28 posted on 08/04/2006 12:09:29 AM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (You're never more than a half-step away from a good note.)
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To: farlander
The enemy is counting on elements within our own societies to constrain us from using the full capability at our disposal.

BINGO!

29 posted on 08/04/2006 12:11:20 AM PDT by expatguy (http://laotze.blogspot.com/)
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To: farlander

Well I can't say I disagree with "kill them all", but...even incinerating a major city to glowing embers does not take care of the other 99.5% of the potential jihadis out there in a world population of 1.2 billion(?). Respectfully, we're talking about a cult[ure] that glorifies death. And finally, couched as you've stated it, our threatened (or, executed) act of incineration would be one of retaliation, which, by definition, only proves that they are still capable of striking us. If it isn't clear, I'm not claiming to have an answer or alternative at this point. "Kill them all" still works for me, it's just that even a city's worth is far from "all".


30 posted on 08/04/2006 12:21:50 AM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (You're never more than a half-step away from a good note.)
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To: farlander

Well said sir!


31 posted on 08/04/2006 12:32:33 AM PDT by vimto (Blighty Awaken!)
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To: FairOpinion

btt


32 posted on 08/04/2006 12:39:25 AM PDT by TASMANIANRED (The Internet is the samizdat of liberty..)
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To: FairOpinion

Here's Al Qaeda's two-pronged global strategy:

#1. Maintain pinprick military contact (i.e. 1 or 2 deaths per day in as many parts of the world as possible) while massaging the news media into convincing the West to surrender and retreat, and

#2. Widen the global terror war by tricking Western Powers into attacking Neutral Islamic nations (e.g. India attacking Pakistan, U.S. attacking Iran, Israel attacking Syria, etc.).

33 posted on 08/04/2006 12:45:11 AM PDT by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: FairOpinion

book mark for later reference
http://www.ctc.usma.edu/naji.asp


34 posted on 08/04/2006 12:59:41 AM PDT by Khurkris (Things look different from over here.)
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To: FairOpinion

BTTT


35 posted on 08/04/2006 3:22:57 AM PDT by PGalt
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To: FairOpinion

ping for later reading.


36 posted on 08/04/2006 3:33:13 AM PDT by SueRae
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To: Southack
. . .Neutral Islamic nations (e.g. India attacking Pakistan, U.S. attacking Iran, Israel attacking Syria, etc.).

Please explain how Iran and Syria are "Neutral Islamic nations." Thanks.

37 posted on 08/04/2006 3:46:56 AM PDT by MSSC6644
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To: FairOpinion

Does any have the Cliff Notes version?


38 posted on 08/04/2006 4:27:38 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: STARWISE

Thank you for the ping- bookmark for reading later.


39 posted on 08/04/2006 4:51:03 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-pray for Israel))
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To: FairOpinion

save


40 posted on 08/04/2006 5:22:03 AM PDT by Eagles6 (Dig deeper, more ammo.)
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To: FairOpinion

bump & bookmark


41 posted on 08/04/2006 5:30:30 AM PDT by sanchmo
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To: MSSC6644
"Please explain how Iran and Syria are "Neutral Islamic nations." Thanks."

From Al Qaeda's viewpoint, Iran and Syria are "neutral" today in the same sense as was fascist Spain (Franco) during WW2 to fellow fascist nations Italy (Mussolini) and Germany (Hitler).

42 posted on 08/04/2006 6:25:28 AM PDT by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: FairOpinion
You're not necessarily paranoid if you believe that there are millions of people out there that would like to slit your throat just because you're an American bump!
:-(
43 posted on 08/04/2006 7:33:55 AM PDT by Tunehead54 (Nothing funny here ;-)
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To: farlander

Seems to me the more pressing enemy is liberalism, socialism, communism and associated PC among our own ranks. Take that away, and the rest of us will muster the will to do what must be done, just as the WWII generation did, without question. The enemy is counting on elements within our own societies to constrain us from using the full capability at our disposal. That is the only way they have a chance of winning. Unsheath the sword, show them the true face and meaning of war as western world invented and perfected over the centuries, and I am willing to say that within 6 months we would not have this problem anymore.

= = = = =

Very much agree with you. Wish I wasn't so skeptical it will happen that way.


44 posted on 08/04/2006 8:35:24 AM PDT by Quix (LET GOD ARISE AND HIS ENEMIES BE SCATTERED. LET ISRAEL CALL ON GOD AS THEIRS! & ISLAM FLUSH ITSELF)
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To: FairOpinion

Not going to read this now. It might be mentoned that they might be successful since they have, if nothing else, a strong morality. Over here we have moral relativism, which is no morality at all or the absence of morality. We have existentialism, which is kind of like being an idiot child in a dark woods full of wolves and bears.


45 posted on 08/04/2006 8:38:59 AM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the law of the excluded middle)
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To: FairOpinion

Thanks much.

Printing off the 25 page one.

Anyway we could uhhhh . . . force feed such to . . . uhhhh . . . traitorous liberals in the US SENATE including Shrillery? Both ends would be OK with me.

Or, maybe we could wall paper their houses? Cars? Stuff their cars full of it?

Encase them in paper mache made of it?

Sigh.

More seriously . . . seems to me billboards of this on key freeways of the nation . . . excerpts . . . would do a lot to raise patriotism and get some survival anger wound up to more appropriate levels.


46 posted on 08/04/2006 8:46:37 AM PDT by Quix (LET GOD ARISE AND HIS ENEMIES BE SCATTERED. LET ISRAEL CALL ON GOD AS THEIRS! & ISLAM FLUSH ITSELF)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Ah but it is a point of deterrent. It is to scare the 'moderate' muslim so that he is far more scared of what we will do than the jihadis. Jihadis might kill him if he doesn't do as they say, but if the 'moderate' thought we would not only kill him but also his family and everyone he ever knew indiscriminantly if the Jihadis go through, we might find that a majority of them really doesn't want to die Jihadi way.

Being the student of Machiavelli, and if the muslim street is going to be controlled by fear (and it certainly will not be controlled by coddling and cowtowing), let it be by a fear greater than jihadis can create. The west *can* create such fear. It's just a question of imagination, capability, and will. We have the imagination and the capability. The will is being constrained by the delusional left.


47 posted on 08/04/2006 9:22:04 AM PDT by farlander (Strategery - sure beats liberalism!)
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