Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Is There Still a Terrorist Threat?
Foreign Affairs ^ | September/October 2006 | John Mueller

Posted on 08/31/2006 6:22:33 PM PDT by wittyone

THE MYTH OF THE OMNIPRESENT ENEMY

For the past five years, Americans have been regularly regaled with dire predictions of another major al Qaeda attack in the United States. In 2003, a group of 200 senior government officials and business executives, many of them specialists in security and terrorism, pronounced it likely that a terrorist strike more devastating than 9/11 -- possibly involving weapons of mass destruction -- would occur before the end of 2004. In May 2004, Attorney General John Ashcroft warned that al Qaeda could "hit hard" in the next few months and said that 90 percent of the arrangements for an attack on U.S. soil were complete. That fall, Newsweek reported that it was "practically an article of faith among counterterrorism officials" that al Qaeda would strike in the run-up to the November 2004 election. When that "October surprise" failed to materialize, the focus shifted: a taped encyclical from Osama bin Laden, it was said, demonstrated that he was too weak to attack before the election but was marshalling his resources to do so months after it.

….snip….

One reasonable explanation is that almost no terrorists exist in the United States and few have the means or the inclination to strike from abroad. But this explanation is rarely offered.

….big snip….

Although it remains heretical to say so, the evidence so far suggests that fears of the omnipotent terrorist …snip… may have been overblown, the threat presented within the United States by al Qaeda greatly exaggerated. The massive and expensive homeland security apparatus erected since 9/11 may be persecuting some, spying on many, inconveniencing most, and taxing all to defend the United States against an enemy that scarcely exists.

(Excerpt) Read more at foreignaffairs.org ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: terrorism; wot
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-83 next last
Oh, well, I guess according to Professor Mueller, we can all just relax and stop worrying about AQ. I'm sure relieved...
1 posted on 08/31/2006 6:22:34 PM PDT by wittyone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: wittyone

"the evidence so far suggests that fears of the omnipotent terrorist …snip… may have been overblown, the threat presented within the United States by al Qaeda greatly exaggerated."

So what about the recent terror plot that was foiled? OK, that was from Britain but it involved planes flying to the US. I'm there were plenty of operatives in the US involved.


2 posted on 08/31/2006 6:24:29 PM PDT by boughtwithaprice
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone
If you have not seen this elsewhere, read it now: Vice Director Admiral Sullivan of the JCS Strategic Planning and Policy's take on the Long War. (PowerPoint Presentation)
3 posted on 08/31/2006 6:26:00 PM PDT by bnelson44 (Proud parent of a tanker! (Charlie Mike, son))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone
Given the opportunity and means, they would kill every last one of us.

How can that possibly be "overblown?"
4 posted on 08/31/2006 6:26:03 PM PDT by msnimje (What part of-- "DEATH TO AMERICA" --do the Democrats not understand?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone
Thanks to President Bush taking the war "over there", the terrorists have been too busy just trying to survive to launch an attack over here. Of course, nobody ever gets credit for what they prevented, they only get the blame for what happens.

Had FDR taken out Adolph Hitler in 1936, he'd be remembered as a villain today and Hitler would be remembered as a martyr.

5 posted on 08/31/2006 6:26:21 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (This Program is Morally Good)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone

This Mueller guy is a noodle head. Yup, Islam just gave up and called it a day.


6 posted on 08/31/2006 6:26:35 PM PDT by King Moonracer (Bad lighting and cheap fabric, thats how you sell clothing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: boughtwithaprice
So what about the recent terror plot that was foiled?

I guess Professor Mueller isn't concerned about the UK. They're just so far away...

7 posted on 08/31/2006 6:27:18 PM PDT by wittyone (A friend is someone who will help you move. A true friend is someone who will help you move bodies.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: King Moonracer
This Mueller guy is a noodle head.

Could you please learn to be more succinct? LOL

8 posted on 08/31/2006 6:28:12 PM PDT by wittyone (A friend is someone who will help you move. A true friend is someone who will help you move bodies.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: bnelson44

Thanks for posting the link on this thread. Downloaded it yesterday.


9 posted on 08/31/2006 6:29:52 PM PDT by wittyone (A friend is someone who will help you move. A true friend is someone who will help you move bodies.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: wittyone
Is There Still a Terrorist Threat?

No, not according to the DNC Playbook.

10 posted on 08/31/2006 6:29:55 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (Meep Meep)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone

Not that a single person other than me reading this thread is likely to do so, but I'd recommend people at least read the entire article before engaging the flamethrower or the barf-o-matic.


11 posted on 08/31/2006 6:30:00 PM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone

Well hell then. Let's bring back box cutters on planes and invite the public in to help the crew fly the plane. /s


12 posted on 08/31/2006 6:30:43 PM PDT by toddlintown (IT)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone

He may be correct (unlikely), but the fact is that the stakes are so huge that even a small 20% probablility would be too much.


13 posted on 08/31/2006 6:32:15 PM PDT by expatpat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone
Given how one nut and his "helper" shut down D.C.'s Maryland and Virginia Suburbs with one rifle, guess what a bunch of suicide types could do in shopping malls, downtown streets, just with pistols or hunting rifles with scopes. (Remember the U. of Texas Tower?)

What could they do with simple industrial explosives, or even easy to obtain chemicals...like chlorine...or..........?

Doesn't have to be a fleet of 757s or nuclear weapons.
14 posted on 08/31/2006 6:34:25 PM PDT by Jackson Brown
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wittyone

Al Queda attacks on the U.S. are highly exaggerated.....they only happen every few years.

However, DUmocrats (terrorist enablers and appeasers) attack the country on a daily basis and are a higher threat to the nation.


15 posted on 08/31/2006 6:34:37 PM PDT by RasterMaster (Winning Islamic hearts and minds.........one bullet at a time!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Strategerist
I can't take credit for the following response (from someone in my wife's law school), but felt it did a pretty good job capturing at least one argument:

...he closes noting how so many more people die of other events more mundane than terrorism, and even an increase in terrorist activity would still mean a very small likelihood of anyone being actually killed by a terrorist. Obviously, he misses the point of what terrorism is altogether, simply put propaganda by deed with intent to cause fear (or terror, if you will). It isn't just that you die; the real effect of terrorists is that you DONT know when or where they will strike, and when they do, its in a very public forum. The effect of their act is not just to kill 3000 people; it's to frighten 300 million people. And in that sense, they have been effective. Last week, a number of planes were grounded because passengers were frightened by who another passenger might have been. It was enough that they were afraid; no one had to be killed for the terrorists even to cause a change in how people viewed the world.

So yeah--you probably stand a better chance of getting hit by a meteor or drowning in your bath tub. But do you fear either of those the same way you do when you get on a plane?

16 posted on 08/31/2006 6:36:20 PM PDT by wittyone (A friend is someone who will help you move. A true friend is someone who will help you move bodies.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

Read enough. He's too stupid to see that the things he complains about are keeping terrorist from striking. The plan to blow up airplanes is a good example of the value of wire taps in preventing more attacks.


17 posted on 08/31/2006 6:38:47 PM PDT by webboy45
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Strategerist
Not that a single person other than me reading this thread is likely to do so ...

A charming display of humility.

18 posted on 08/31/2006 6:38:58 PM PDT by AHerald ("Do not fear, only believe." Mk 5:36)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: wittyone

We need the picture of the guy with his head up his ass like Prof. Mueller/


19 posted on 08/31/2006 6:39:19 PM PDT by sgtbono2002 (The fourth estate is a fifth column.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

"You may not be interested in war, but war is interested in you." - Trotsky


20 posted on 08/31/2006 6:40:04 PM PDT by bnelson44 (Proud parent of a tanker! (Charlie Mike, son))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-83 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson