Here in OH, the guys who were tight with Bush are in no trouble at all; but it's DeWine, who frequently distanced himself from Bush, who is having trouble.
Right LS, and is the experts like Anti-Guv and others who think they know Ohio better than you.
Right LS, and is the experts like Anti-Guv and others who think they know Ohio better than you.
So that is why Blackwell is cruising.
I think that when President Bush's approval numbers are taken in an area such as a congressional district, they will correlate...to the congressional race to some degree.
If taken in a state, same thing in the Senatorial race.
But the National Approval numbers are virtually meaningless.
Look at your red/blue maps...the blues are small in area but dense in population and the dims vote like limmings...89-11, 79-21 that sort of thing.
Now look at the reds, huge in area thinner in population and the margins are substantially closer 57-43, 55-45, 53-47.
My point is that the Congressional elections, especially the House will not correlate to President Bush's approval rating very closely...good or bad.
I mean Bernie Sanders, a registered Socialist is going to be elected to the U. S. Senate...how Republican do you expect his replacement in the House to be? Would that change if President Bush's national approval ratings were 80% positive?
In your rush to contradict me, you said it precisely backwards. If my analysis is correct, then Bush's approval numbers should correlate very closely with GOP success. So, the rebound in GWB's approval numbers should tack with a rebound in GOP numbers across the board.