Well this poll probably oversampled Democrats a bit, but even with that factored in, Hostettler is in serious trouble. Undecideds will probably break for Hostettler but I don't know if that's enough to pull him through. He was down 6 in the CD poll completed Sept. 10 and Research 2000 had him down 4 in early September.
1 posted on
09/25/2006 11:31:02 AM PDT by
okstate
To: Clintonfatigued
Hostettler down 15 in IN-08? Indiana State University poll
2 posted on
09/25/2006 11:31:28 AM PDT by
okstate
To: okstate
While Hostettler is in trouble, this poll is worthless. From Crosstabs:
But still I dont really have a problem with the survey showing Hostettler down as I expect to see that. The professor who supervised the study blabs on about using a stratified random sample and how the survey is geographically proportionate with the counties in the district yada yada yada. Then a couple paragraphs down I come across this nugget referring to the complete sample of n=603 respondents.
Of that 603, 63.5 percent are women and 36.5 percent are men.
Thats unprecedented. Two-thirds of the voters in the district are women??? Is this a survey of Indianas 8th CD or that island from the James Bond movie Octopussy?
http://www.crosstabs.org/dangerous_poll_in_in_cd_8
3 posted on
09/25/2006 11:35:22 AM PDT by
jf55510
To: okstate
Hmmm. I've never seen a reference to the Indiana 8th district without the word "bloody"...
5 posted on
09/25/2006 11:42:22 AM PDT by
Hegemony Cricket
(Once again, raw sewage has overflowed into the arab street)
To: okstate
these internals do not match up
6 posted on
09/25/2006 11:42:38 AM PDT by
KyleM
To: okstate
Being from this area, you would not believe the crap that is flying right now! The only thing that Ellsworth has that is going for him is his looks and the Dem's are running with it to the max. He is definitely a pretty boy and other than being the sherriff for the past few years, has not held political office. One 70 year old woman from Princeton, though, actually wrote a letter to the editor of the Courier saying that she was going to vote for him, solely because of his looks. Hostettler has had a rough time of it the past couple elections, if my memory serves me correctly. He beat an old Democrat to get the seat and there is a lot of bad blood, hence the bloody 8th. The mud has been slinging for over a month already.
To: okstate
OK STATE works for DEAN and the DNC folks, he is a paid troll who blogs for the Left. Ignore Him.
To: okstate
Indiana State sociology research lab is another red flag.they are likely amateurs and a sociology (socialism) depart is another red flag. I believe Hostettler is down but not this far.
9 posted on
09/25/2006 12:57:53 PM PDT by
bilhosty
(to hell with ABCNNBCBS)
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