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To: Morgan in Denver

Didn't know there was an exemption for political calls - thanks for that.

FWIW Bush has been polling fairly steadily between 40 and 42 on Rasmussen for several weeks now - I tend to trust his polls more than any other)

Here's another example of how I think the DBM tries to change Public opinion on polls that I posted to a thread Oct 4. Using headlines to make it look like Bush's # has have dropped to the 30s. It isn't until you get down in the article to find out the new poll shows his #s at 39 and there is a margin of error at 3.5%, which means his #s may have not changed!:

Here's an example of something that was on the web at msnbc.com this a.m. As w the NY Slimes and other MSM, I think they count on a lot of people to read the headline and not necessarily read the whole article

Here's the headline:
Sex scandal, Iraq book take toll on Bush, GOP
NBC/WSJ poll: Bush back in 30s; Dems favored for control of Congress

If you go down the page, you'll see this - -note that the margin of error rate is 3.5%, which could mean the President's numbers haven't changed at all or not much (at least they admit that the drop is within the margin of error) - but that's not what the headline implies to me:

Presidential approval
In the poll, Bush's job approval rating is at 39 percent among registered voters, a drop of three points since September, when his rating had increased to its highest level in months after he gave a series of speeches on national security leading into the fifth anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. The three-point drop, however, is within the poll's margin of error of plus-minus 3.5 percentage points.

Note again that they are polling registered voters, not likely voters. Also, this poll was conducted over the weekend - I've read many times that polls on weekends get more Dims, and the pollsters know that, as Pubbies are usually at church and/or out doing things w their families.

Here's another example: The President was in CA campaigning yesterday - even visited an elementary school named after him and will be going to AZ and CO. Wonder why that isn't on this calendar:
MSNBC Political Calendar

OCTOBER
1-3 John Edwards visits Uganda
3 Bob Riley’s birthday
John Kerry campaigns with Ohio Democrats
4 Chuck Hagel’s birthday
Ken Blackwell & Ted Strickland debate in Cincinnati, Ohio


918 posted on 10/09/2006 8:01:30 AM PDT by Seattle Conservative (God Bless and protect our troops and their CIC)
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To: Seattle Conservative
Good post. All of this conforms with what you and I were saying. No surprise. Well, the surprise is on them because MSNBC is so biased the perception is they will say anything, trying to improve their numbers. MSNBC seems to think the more they are outrageous, the greater numbers of viewers they will have. I don't think that will happen. Some of their numbers are up but that's from the radical left learning there's another network on their side and making fantasy claims against President Bush.

I know this because a Democrat friend sent me a column and link to MSNBC.  This was new for him to do and he's excited to find it.

919 posted on 10/09/2006 9:25:18 AM PDT by Morgan in Denver
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To: Seattle Conservative; Morgan in Denver
36% Feel House Speaker Hastert Should Resign

Rassmussen did a poll on Foleygate. Out of ALL respondents, Democrats and Republicans only 36% felt Hastert should go, 64% either did not or did not care.

Pretty much nukes the "Everyone hates the GOP" story line being spread by Donner Party "Conservatives" now does it not?

Then there is this little gem. HERE is what happened after Watergate, the start of one of the worst recessions in US History and Ford pardoning Nixon. Lutz et al are telling us THIS year is going to be worse. Worse? A booming economy? A scandal no one but the Always Angry care about? A war no where near as unpopular as Vietnam is going to result in WORSE fall out for the GOP then 1974?

http://www.ashbrook.org/publicat/oped/busch/06/1974.html

When the votes were counted, Democratic hopes had been realized. Republicans lost 48 House seats, five Senate seats, and statehouse after statehouse. The Democratic scythe cut most deeply in previously Republican suburbs where concerns about the economy and clean government resonated strongly.

One suspects the Donner Party "Conservatives" are merely HOPING it will be worse. After all these are the clowns who gave us the absurd "Win by losing" dogma of the politically suicidal.

923 posted on 10/09/2006 2:17:59 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Evil Dooer, Snowflake, Conservative Fundamentalist Bush Bot Dittohead reporting for duty!)
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