1) Just out again YESTERDAY in old Kettering, which should be a significantly DEMOCRATIC precinct. (This goes along with the other older precincts that should be heavily Dem.)
Now, just so you really get the significance of this, Bush lost Mont. Co. by a little; and Ted cannot win OH without Montgomery Co.
2) I would go ENTIRE STREETS and not see a registered Dem on our list. NOT ONE. This is close to 1000 homes we've done in two weeks. Of those registered "R"s we do a lit drop at, they are ALL people who have voted in the last four elections. We're talking about almost every house we've come across in these precincts.
3) Dozens of Blackwell signs. One Strickland sign. One. And it belonged to a registered Dem.
4) STILL no appearance whatsoever of Dems out knocking on doors, doing lit drops. My peeps tell me that they have not seen the Dems out once---not ONE SINGLE TIME---and we walk six days a week!
5) Overall, we've dropped almost 200,000 pieces of lit in the last two weeks alone. This is the second most effective GOTV technique, behind only personal calls.
Anyone that thinks DeWine is in anything below "tossup" position now is mental. Internal polls from BOTH sides are now showing Ken within 5---maybe better. But you be the judge: doctored polls that identify Republicans as "Dems" or boots on the ground that are seeing people in what should be a "swing" district" every day.
Oh, and the DeWine signs exceed the Blackwell signs.
That is good. If that happens they will bitch and whine about how Blackwell stole the election or something to that effect.
I am hearing the same thing from contacts within the RNC.
LLS
This poll (which I believe overstates Brown's lead significantly) does show a very substantial disconnect between western Ohio, which still leans Republican, and central and northern Ohio, which poll strongly Democrat. The polls appear to be showing partisan swings biggest in the Columbus area and rural eastern Ohio, not necessarily places like Dayton and Cincinnati. Which does bode well for Chabot and Schmidt.
Great to hear!! Keep up the hard work, and maybe we can salvage this election year. Every single seat matters as you well know. What is going on in TN be the way? I sure don't want to give up that southern seat.
Thanks for bringing perspective as you are actually HERE IN OHIO, on the ground, doing the legwork.
The odd thing around Akron:
The Blackwell signs I am seeing are in mostly Black neighborhoods. The Strickland signs I've seen in the heaviest abundance are in Fairlawn (a more affluent suburban area.)
If Blackwell gets even 25% of the Black vote...Strickland is toast.
Thanks for all your work!
Big push for Blackwell expected the weekend before the election.