I believe that in the end Bell will come in 2nd and Kinky will finish 4th. I have no basis for that feeling other than I think the democrats will come home on Nov. 7 and that means Kinky loses those votes. Also I'm not sure where the democrat money/supporters that supported Strayhorn will ultimately wind up. I think some of them may come back to Bell once they've decided that Strayhorn isn't hurting the Governor that much. Who knows but it will be an interesting 3+ weeks.
Early voting begins in 10 days, Oct. 23rd.
I believe you are exactly right. In the end, some of Kinky's support will succumb to voter inertia. And the Dem money behind Grandma will return to the party -- in order to avoid an utter catastrophe down the ballot.
Still, tbe Democrat candidate for governor of Texas will be lucky to crack 25%...