Posted on 10/22/2006 5:17:58 PM PDT by YaYa123
IO has two very tight races. We only have to win one. Lamberti is probably the better shot.
And it ain't bragging if you did it. And, funny thing, the so-called "professionals" are always in Washington or New York, never in the states where the races took place. But, then again, if you were as astute as you pretend to be, you'd know that. You'd know that in 2004, Jay Cost did an amazing voter registration analysis that shot to pieces all the "professionals'" assumptions of "huge" Dem voter registrations---which is a key in all these assumptions.
And it ain't bragging if you are actually in the field working, seeing the precincts up close, which, apparently you are not.
Oh, and I'm "not impressed" with your---and others'---gloomsterism when many never have done a lit drop or a phone call in their life.
Go vote the hell with the polls...
LS:
We haven't agreed this whole election cycle. I hope you are right, but the Republican pols I have talked to and the Democratic pols I have talked to have consensus on this. The Repubs may hold on the House and Senate, but it will be by very narrow margins.
If I am ever in your neck of the words, let's have dinner and go over the state of the American textbook.
Absolutely. Anywhere near Cincinnati or Dayton (I'm on the south side of Dayton).
I did see that. We can only hope that the Corker staffing change compounded by the occasional Ford slip leaves us with a seat. We only need TN and VA.
However, did you see NEWSWEEK. The SOB's put the idiot on the cover with two weeks to go. If I expressed myself here as I would like, the MODS would close down my account.
Of course, over at DU, what I would say would pass for normal conversation!
Yep, see my above post. We need only one more.
Ford is not gonna be a US Senator anytime soon. Corker will win comfortably.
Oh dear, you make it seem as if the MSM's attempt to depress conservative voters is working. So here's a bit of good news to cheer you up:
http://www.captainsquartersblog.com/mt/
"October 23, 2006
A Spoiler In Indiana?
Democratic plans to recapture control over the House may run into an unexpected buzzsaw in Indiana. Incumbent Democrat Julia Carlson has blown a 20-point lead and now trails Republican Eric Dickerson, according to a local poll (via Right Wing News):
The WTHR poll -- conducted by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, Iowa, and based on responses of 468 likely voters in the 7th Congressional District -- was startling, though, particularly in the wake of a poll of 400 likely voters, taken in September for WISH (Channel 8), that showed Carson with a lead of 20 percentage points. WTHR reported its poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Dickerson, a former auto dealer, has run his race largely on his own. He beat the Republican Party's endorsed candidate in the primary and has run his campaign with virtually no state or national support since.
"It's just another confirmation that our campaign is very, very serious and we do intend to win this race," Dickerson told WTHR.
The national party has done nothing for Dickerson, who has prided himself on the independence of his candidacy. However, the GOP may soon look to this race to help them keep control of the House, and the national media may discover this race rather soon. Keep an eye on Indiana."
On the other hand, we have the regular election cycle sham that NJ is in play only to face the reality of voter fraud and the Dem political machine. In MD, Steele has an outside shot. He must hope that Dem blacks shift some support to him or stay home to send a message to the Dem power structure that they are sick and tired of being the most loyal Dem constituency, but are shut out from running for statewide office.
I understand Whalen in polling way ahead of the Democrat. Don't know that for sure but have read it a couple of times.
That must be the problem. The polling technique is entirely different within the boundaries of Manhattan and the DC metropolitan area. And everyone knows that to have a valid poll the interviewers must be physically present in the state that they are polling about.
/sarc
The news is not that "bad". Even if this is correct, 4 of 6 needed Senate Seats and 10 of 15 needed House Seats isn't bad news. I'll shout "Hallelujah" if we do that well on November 7 because we still control both Houses.
Go to tradesports.com....a sight known for predicting
our elections better than our American pollsters......
latest races....Senate..House.,.etc. Jake
Will do; thanks.
Moreover, my criticisms of the polls are well-supported by Jay Cost and many others have have noticed the same thing this cycle. In fact, in his latest column, he INDEED suggests that there may be some "institutional bias" deriving from their mind-set.
I don't care WHY they are off, only that they are.
>>The last few weeks have pulled even the closet Dems out and that is too bad because they don't usually vote.
What makes you think that these people will vote if they think that it is a "done deal" that the Democrats will gain control of both houses of Congress? Habitual non-voters need little or no motivation to stay home. The over-confidence of the Democrats will probably keep these people home.
I think he stumbles alot when he's not reading from a script.
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