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OPEC to Keep Oil Prices Low to Discourage Alternative Fuel Use
National Ethanol Vehicle Coalition ^ | October 23, 2006 | Michelle Kautz

Posted on 10/25/2006 6:56:27 AM PDT by Lockbox

OPEC to Keep Oil Prices Low to Discourage Alternative Fuel Use

Jefferson City , MO – OPEC announced late last week that they were planning on cutting oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day in hopes to keep costs of crude at about $60 per barrel. This cut is intended to bring the cost of gasoline up a bit but to keep it low enough so as to be more attractive than alternative fuel pricing.

“It’s unfortunate that OPEC feels that they can control the vision of this country and the destiny relative to alternative fuels,” exclaimed Curtis Donaldson, Chairman of the National Ethanol Vehicle Coalition.

OPEC expects to keep the price of gasoline at about $2.25 per gallon. According to a Foxnews.com news story on October 20 (which can be found by clicking here), “OPEC's cut also signaled that it would defend a price of about $60 a barrel, high enough to justify its investment in future production capacity but low enough to allow economic growth and deter a flood of alternative fuels.”

U.S. oil prices set a record high in July of this year topping at $78.40 a barrel and averaging record high fuel costs. Alternative fuel pricing, including E85, tended to be much lower during the summer, thus making them more attractive to consumers.

“OPEC feels that they can manage the price of gasoline to a point where increasing the production of E85 and providing it at more locations across the country will become less attractive. It will be disappointing if we allow this to happen when everyone knows, now more than ever, we need more energy independence,” added Donaldson.

According to an Automotive Fleet article (whiche can be found by clicking here), Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister supports OPEC’s decision to decrease production.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; gas; oil; opec
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1 posted on 10/25/2006 6:56:28 AM PDT by Lockbox
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To: Lockbox

I like that thinking. Give me 1.50 gas again, and put the alternate fuels on hold for the next 100 years.


2 posted on 10/25/2006 6:58:16 AM PDT by pissant
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To: Lockbox

I would spend MORE to keep those damn fanatics from getting American dollars to feed their Wahhabist Mosques, Madrassehs and homicidal maniacs.


3 posted on 10/25/2006 6:58:52 AM PDT by ZULU (Non nobis, non nobis, Domine, sed nomini tuo da gloriam. God, guts, and guns made America great.)
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To: Lockbox

What? This cannot be...OPEC manipulating its price for world oil? Well, we don't need OPEC, with our government's aggressive policy of expanding our energy independence, why we can just tell these guys what to do with their oil....(/sarcasm)

The gift from Washington just keeps on giving.


4 posted on 10/25/2006 7:00:52 AM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: Lockbox
Well, I guess they are declaring victory and going home...but it won't work until oil gets down to $20 a barrel again...
5 posted on 10/25/2006 7:04:09 AM PDT by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam and we want to kill them)
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To: Lockbox

If OPEC actually succeeds at holding oil prices as high as $60 per barrel for the long-term, that will be a great encouragement to folks producing alternative energy. I suspect that there are a lot of alternative energy sources that would be profitable at the equivalent of $60 per barrel of oil.


6 posted on 10/25/2006 7:06:27 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Lockbox

There is absolutely no free market in the petroleum production business, as OPEC makes abundantly clear.


7 posted on 10/25/2006 7:07:51 AM PDT by Virginia Ridgerunner ("Si vis pacem para bellum")
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To: Lockbox

What's interesting about this is that it shows how it's almost impossible for anyone to maintain a monopoly. Even if your compnay or industry has no competitors, you basically have to run your business like you do -- to discourage new competitors from entering your market.


8 posted on 10/25/2006 7:12:17 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
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To: Lockbox

The more we reduce demand, the more we foil OPEC's plans.


9 posted on 10/25/2006 7:18:27 AM PDT by DungeonMaster (Man defiles a rock when he chips it with a tool. Ex 20:25)
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To: 2banana
OPEC SAYS they'll cut production, but none of them are trustworthy. 1.2 million barrels per day - multiply that by $60, and that's how much cash we are talking about PER DAY in the face of a falling market, rapidly developing alternatives and new sources. OPEC won't abide by their own cuts, because each of them recognizes that the longer they wait, the less they will get overall. There are too many others outside of OPEC who are able to make up the difference. The OPEC countries don't want to lose that market - but they want everybody else to.

Venezuela and others are already known to be lying about their production so they can pretend to abide by cuts - but each of them just hopes the others do so they can still maximize their own sales. Saudi Arabia is in a really tight situation now. They have built such a monstrously huge social system that they can't afford for oil to fall that low. Nor can they afford not to sell as much oil as possible. There is no easy answer for them other than to hope that everybody else cuts production and the prise rises.

I expect to see a very short-term spike in futures, but even that really hasn't happened yet because nobody believes OPEC has the ability to do what it wants to. The weekly reserve numbers will likely continue to prove that nobody's cutting anything... and the market will continue to fall to a more realistic level - probably in the 40's or lower.

OPEC was powerless to bring prices down when they were insanely inflated. They remain powerless to do any more than very temporarily shoring up the prices. The point of maximum return for them is a complex calculus involving sales volume and price per barrel as only two of many factors. In the end, the market will be what it is going to be.
10 posted on 10/25/2006 7:21:50 AM PDT by celano
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To: Lockbox

I'm begiining to think we need to regaed dependence upon oil as the mechanism of religious conquest for Islam.....


http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1725452/posts


11 posted on 10/25/2006 7:22:28 AM PDT by mo
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To: Lockbox

They cannot forestall the biggest alternative fuel source, oil, namely the Alaskan tar sands oil which has become less and less expensive to produce and may well by itself in a few years eliminate US dependence on Moslems for fuel. Add that to the new Gulf of Mexico finds and the Venezuelan tar sands, and oil is its own alternative fuel. Yes, Venezuela. No matter what sort of tyrant rules there, the US controls that oil. It is an American resource and it will ultimately take American capital to develop it. And ANWR? It could be a big deal, but it is not necessary. Fighting over ANWR does, however keep the focus of the green crazies there while we develop the other sources, and ANWR, too will be eventually tapped unless the cost of production of the other sources declines below that of ANWR.


12 posted on 10/25/2006 7:23:52 AM PDT by arthurus (Better to fight them over THERE than over HERE)
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To: Alberta's Child
it shows how it's almost impossible for anyone to maintain a monopoly.

It fits the perfect definition of monopoly. Being able to manipulate prices in order to snuff out the competition, then increase them once the threat has been eliminated is a monopoly.

13 posted on 10/25/2006 7:26:17 AM PDT by Realism (Some believe that the facts-of-life are open to debate.....)
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To: sitetest

Stable $60 oil will extend the sway of Islamic oil just until Canadian tar sands oil is in full production. If The Saudis desire to remain dominant longterm then they probably need to "control' the price of their oil back down to $20 or so.


14 posted on 10/25/2006 7:27:29 AM PDT by arthurus (Better to fight them over THERE than over HERE)
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To: arthurus

One Alaskan pointed out to me that American oil production is actually down 15% this year. That's probably due to CA housewife economics in the senate.


15 posted on 10/25/2006 7:32:51 AM PDT by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: Virginia Ridgerunner

There absolutely is. 'swhy OPEC is doing what its doing.


16 posted on 10/25/2006 7:40:44 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (BTUs are my Beat.)
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To: arthurus

Continental US production is, indeed declining, but that is largely because of resistance to drilling off the coasts. That resistance is fading and offshore Gulf oil is found but not yet in production. That takes time. The tar sands and Utah shale are slow to develop but progress is inexorable and the Sauds probably see the writing on the wall only vaguely. Restance to Nuclear power is also fading away and that is coming on line, too, but again, that will take time. For the time being the price of oil will be determined by OPEC though OPEC will try to balance max immediate profit with the necessity of not raising the price so high that it brings other energy sources online that will permanently reduce OPEC price control ability. Other sources are coming online regardless of OPEC manipulation. The costs of production of the tar sands have come down to levels that must be scary to the Sauds if they are paying attention.


17 posted on 10/25/2006 7:44:30 AM PDT by arthurus (Better to fight them over THERE than over HERE)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

How can that be? OPEC is a cartel whose members openly collude with one another to actively manipulate oil prices on the world market. In this case, the cartel is worried that alternative fuels technology is on the drawing board because of $3.00 per gallon gas prices and wants to undercut it by collectively driving down oil prices. No free market there...


18 posted on 10/25/2006 7:46:24 AM PDT by Virginia Ridgerunner ("Si vis pacem para bellum")
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To: Lockbox

I think old Adam Smith would call this "the invisible hand of competition."


19 posted on 10/25/2006 7:49:08 AM PDT by Gulf War One
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To: Lockbox

Just yesterday they were cutting production to keep prices high...................Is the media lying to us or is OPEC that fickle?


20 posted on 10/25/2006 7:51:33 AM PDT by PeterPrinciple (Seeking the Truth here Folks.)
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