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To: blam

I wonder what they mean by "around" full and near moons -- if they're counting three days before and after, that covers half the lunar cycle. Add to that a small sample size (only 10 months), and you've got a pretty week for a causal connection.

I really have to wonder, too, why the sample size is so small -- every tremor is recorded and lunar cycles are perfectly predictable, so I'd think it would be pretty east to set up a computer to process 20 or 30 years' worth of data, maybe more, going back however far the seismographic measurements are considered reliable.


7 posted on 10/25/2006 3:12:31 PM PDT by ReignOfError
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To: ReignOfError

near = new; pretty week = pretty weak case; pretty east= pretty easy

And that with the automatic preview and everything.


15 posted on 10/25/2006 3:52:15 PM PDT by ReignOfError
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To: ReignOfError
I wonder what they mean by "around" full and new moons -- if they're counting three days before and after, that covers half the lunar cycle. Add to that a small sample size (only 10 months), and you've got a pretty weak case for a causal connection.

Bingo!

Bulletin: 40% of sick days are taken on Fridays and Mondays!

Clear evidence of a correlation with something if you are looking for evidence of a correlation with something.

34 posted on 10/25/2006 11:06:33 PM PDT by SFConservative
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