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To: Torie

==It is not as if there are tons of empty homes out there.

Actually, if the following assessment is correct, there are indeed a ton of empty homes out there.

http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/2005/0731.html


184 posted on 10/28/2006 11:21:41 AM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
The article claims that there are 700,000 vacant homes as of July, 2005 as the residual stub number. That is ludicrous. Owners of homes don't leave them vacant. They either sell them or rent them out.

By the way, rental rates of homes in Orange and LA County have gone up substantially. I know. I rent out an 1100 square footer in LA now for $2600 a month (and probably could get $2750). The house if worth about $650,000. 3 years ago it was $2000 a month. A partner of mine is renting out is 1800 square footer in Mission Veijo for $2700 a month. It is also worth about $650,000, which is a cap rate of about 3.5% assuming a sale, and a Prop 13 prop tax increase to 1.1% of market value - not a bad return for a rental of a single family house. Rising rents is putting a floor on the amount of further decline in housing prices. It will take a rescession or substantially rising interest rates to push cap rates up, and prices down.

197 posted on 10/28/2006 11:40:33 AM PDT by Torie
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