Posted on 11/04/2006 6:41:52 PM PST by 11th_VA
Because it turns out that Democrats are fair-weather voters.
Literally.
A new study of voter behavior confirms something political operatives have long suspected: rain hurts Democrats and helps Republicans. The study found that 1 inch of rain reduces overall turnout by slightly less than 1 percent and cuts the Democratic vote by 2.5 percentage points.
“Rain does have a significant effect decreasing the Democratic vote share,” said Brad Gomez, a visiting professor of political science at the University of Georgia who co-authored the study. “That’s a fairly sizeable swing.”
By analyzing weather and voting data since 1948, Gomez and his colleagues, Thomas Hansford and George Krause, calculated how many voters stayed home because of rain and snow. During the especially rainy 1992 election, 666,000 voters stayed home, but Democrat Bill Clinton won the presidency by such a large margin that it did not affect the outcome.
There’s a point here to make about liberals and only being willing to do something for their country when it’s convenient to them, but this election season has me so worn out I can’t make it.
Damn, no rain in Wisconsinstan.
Mr Rove, we need rain, sir.
Hmmn a nice swath of rain from the Ohio valley through the northeast. Yummy.
And bad weather in the northwest.
Can you say upset?
Ya goin down Cantwell. :)
DemocRATS and "showers" are not compatible? I think that started back in the 60s.
Looks like a positive for Ohio’s Blackwell and company.
Yes, the rain is falling on some hotly contested races.
More proof that libs are lazy and want everything their way.
Va, Pa, Nj, !!!!!
The weather map is good for the TN senate race, Santorum, and some other key races.
Hmmm, Wonder why...They're already all wet... :P
you know if the Chinese can change the weather, Rove can do it better. So expect it to fall in buckets just where we need it.
Actually, Spahn & Sain were playing for the Boston Braves from 1946-1951. The Braves moved to Milwaukee in 1953.
Ah, so it was ancient Boston wisdom from the Forties.
Its been cold here today in the east as well - maybe that will drive down some of the canvasing.
I don't know. I prayed for rain this summer and we had terrible flooding all summer. LOL I think the RATS' bragging about how they were already winning will keep a lot of them from going to vote, figuring it's "in the bag."
And Maryland! And Maryland! I'm praying for rain so that Bob Ehrlich hangs on and Michael Steele is swept into office.
Thank God!!! Detroit is getting rain while the rest of Michigan is dry.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.