If we had another 4-5 days or so, I wouldn't be so worried. The trend has definitely been moving Republican. But I'm not sure less than 24 hours is enough to get the job done and let the Republicans keep the majority.
Exactamundo, will these upticks register tomorrow at the polling places?
"Oh, by the way, the Post was kind enough to give us a bit of history on their generic ballot preference question:
Dem Rep Other Neither
cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.)
11/6/94 RV 47 42 5 2
10/31/94 RV 48 44 4 1
Yes, on November 6, 1994, among registered voters, ABC News/Washington Post had the Democrats ahead on the generic ballot, 47 percent to 42. So we know just how valuable an indicator it is."
http://tks.nationalreview.com/
Prior to election: A 5% Dem lead in 1994 (2 days befor election) and now in 2006, a 6% Dem. With being down 5% in 1994, GOP did ok.
"But I'm not sure less than 24 hours is enough to get the job done and let the Republicans keep the majority".
...this is precisely what we don't need right now. If you don't feel like it's gonna work out than keep the negative vibes out of the chatroom! Vote and go to bed.
If we had another 4-5 days or so,
Frankly, I think the timing is just about right. Don't forget, these polls are probably about 24-36 hours behind the curve. The maximum uptick could possibly hit tomorrow. Let's hope that's enough to carry the day.
With all due respect, you have been negative in every post that I have read lately. It will not help regardless of outcome. Winners require a winning attitude. I hope you get a little with the good news we have today. It could be worse... we are surging and we could be plummeting.
LLS
A big reason "momentum" in polls is important is the fact that the polls aren't up-to-date. If you see a poll today it was taken yesterday, if not earlier. And that means that, if we have "momentum," the reality as of today is already better than what is being reported.All very well to speak of avoiding overconfidence, but it's human nature to be more motivated to vote for a close winner than for a loser. Besides, any Republican who doesn't think every vote can really count was giving himself a colonoscopy in November of 2000.