He's only winning Yellowstone 51-47 (1,000 votes) so far with 36 percent in.
If that's because he's only getting the bad parts, that's good. Otherwise...
If you assume 1) CNN's data is right (too lazy for the SoS page), and 2) all counties are uniform; then Burns will squeak by with 500 or so votes by my calculations.. but the second assumption is a big one.
All eyes on Yellowstone.