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Your breakdown is correct but misses a key point that was brought up in the other analyses:

"The single biggest nail in the 2006 coffin was the Republican women's vote, which voted in staggering numbers for Democrats in 2006. The most often cited reason were the war in Iraq and Healthcare."

The Republican women's vote, like it or not, is very wishy-washy. It is often cited as one of the key factors in Clinton's two victories.

Breaking even with Evangelical Conservatives turnout (as compared to the prior elections) while seeing a slight (just less than 2%) drop in general Conservative turnout in 2006 is not what hurt the most. What hurt the most is the enormous amount of crossover Republican vote (non-Conservative Republicans) who didn't even do us the favor of just staying home, and instead chose to punish the GOP by electing Democrats.

In summary, what hurt us the most - plain and simple - was the disenfranchisement by non-Conservative Republicans with, primarily, the War in Iraq. They went weak about it, not the Conservatives. They want out, especially the Republican women (not Conservative, that is).

The 2% decrease hurt. 2% want a perfect party. But they are not the ones truly responsible for what happened in November. At least they did us the FAVOR of staying home, as opposed to the RINO voters who think they can vote Iraq out of the news.

All you need to know is this: in Virginia, women voted for Webb 60%-40% - a man who could probably be accurately described as an open misogynist. That tells you what really hurt us in the last election.

Stop blaming Conservatives for a slight - statistically within the margin of error - drop in turnout.

Stop blaming Conservatives for a slight - statistically within the margin of error - drop in turnout.

First keep in mind that this was not "my breakdown" as you say. This was an analysis of actual voter turn out done by TownHall. For you to dismiss it because it does not fit your personal analyses is to be ignoring facts. When you see that the conservative vote dropped 2% while the liberal vote increased 4%, that is a very large difference in these very close races and most definitely outside the margin of error.

Second, I am not blaming Conservatives. I am blaming ignorant, short term, selfish voters (and non-voters). Protest voting has ALWAYS had incredibly bad unintentional consequences and has never resulted (as far as I know) in those protest voters getting what they wanted in the next election or two.