The GOP needs Florida, and it's not going to be easy to get without a Bush on the ticket.
Even McCain is beating Obama in Florida!
enough with the friggin' BUSH's already.....no more RINO's
As I recall, it wasn't easy to get Florida WITH a Bush on the ticket.
Not only does the GOP need Florida (as in I don't see any scenario in which the GOP can win without Florida), Hillary may have Richardson as her running mate, which would strengthen her in Flordia (and several other purple states with large hispanic populations).
This is going to be a tough one.
Rudy's looking real good, electoral college-wise. He holds all the red states, and gathers in a lot of the purple states. This is very positive. But, his margins are thin in many states, meaning that if the war is dragging on, or if the economy were to sour, the other side would probably win.
On the other hand, given Rudy's nationwide appeal, were something good to happen in the war, the odds are good for a solid victory in the electoral college, along with regaining out majorities in Congress and restoring our party's grassroots in a number of states.
In the in-between case of mixed results from Iraq (and elsewhere), it'll be a toss-up.
Losing in 2008 means that the Democrats will pull the plug on Iraq, the same as they did in Vietnam. On the other hand, winning in 2008 means we would be able, almost indefinitely, to support Iraq with financial aid, technical advise, special operations and air power. While I can't say if this would be enough for the cause of freedom in Iraq, my main concern is the cause of freedom in the United States.
We can help the Iraqis, but in the end, their future is for them to determine. Just as our future is for us to determine.
If we have to have a bush on the ticket to win Florida, I suggest it'd better be Janice Rogers Brown.
I would love Newt or Jeb to be on the ticket. That will not happen . Rudy G will still have to pick a South-SW conserv to help him win the Red States and pick off a blue state or two. Who knows who that would be?
GOTV in the rural areas will be what we rely on. In the long term, if the unfettered illegal immigration continues, the state will flip and become like California, Illinois and New Jersey.
I don't know much about this polling outfit - the thing I see here that bothers me - Hillary beats McCain in Florida?