Okay Ill take that bet....
By or before 2030 there will be no seperate bathrooms.
before 2020 (or within the next 10 years)you will see atleast one law suit arguing that seperate bathrooms are a form of segregation (im betting before)
As for pedophiles. I think thats a longer haul. It has taken atleast 20-30 years for us to get this far with homosexuals. so i say by 2050, the laws will be more favorable to pediophiles.
Of course I am hoping i am wrong on all accounts so even if I lose, i win :-)
Are we on?
We have an agreement in principle, but the specific parts need to be worked out yet.
For example, I imagine that some fruitcake has already filed a lawsuit alleging that seperate bathrooms are discriminatory. There's no way to know. And if there has been none, anyone filing a lawsuit would be considered a validation of your point, even if he or she has been laughed out of the courtroom. I don't think that should be part of the bet.
And I really feel like I'm cheating you. Let me explain why:
You are obviously genuinely concerned about these matters. However, most likely, this concern has been created by alarmist rhetoric about the state of our society, which has absolutely nothing to do with reality.
I've never lost a bet in my life that had anything to do with politics or scientific matters, and I have made tens of them. It's a great way to shut people up when they don't have the slightest clue of what they're talking about (of course, this is not what I'm planning with you, since it's not as if I can't avoid listening to what you have to say, as it is with people in real life). You probably have a skewed assessment of the probability that these things are going to happen. Therefore, you might be overconfident of of your own chances - and less confident when it comes to the health of our society.
For these reasons, and because I think you have a family to feed, I propose the token sum of $1 - with odds of 1-100 in my favor (and even that is an overstatement of the chance that these things are going to happen). If I win, you pay me $1. If you win, I pay you $100.
You are hoping that these things will not happen. I, on the other hand, know that these things are not going to happen.
Please Freepmail me, then we can work this out in more detail. I responded so that people would not think that I was willing to challenge you to make a bet, but not so willing to take the bet.