I'm not worried about Florida - whether its Rudy or Thompson.
I'm worried about Ohio.
Ohio is definitely the biggest worry.
I'm also worried about West Virginia, Missouri, Iowa, Arkansas (if it's Shrillary), Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada. Florida isn't a slam dunk, but I think it will be OK -- if we nominate Rudy. Romney, I suspect, might not do well there.
Even if we hold every questionable Bush '04 state but OH, OH is enough to lose it for us. I like the fact that Rudy makes us competitive in PA and NJ. I'm guessing he could carry NH also. We might very well need PA, or NJ plus NH.
Poll: Giuliani doing well in Ohio, other swing states
http://www.columbusdispatch.com/national/national.php?story=251468
The former New York City mayor leads or is virtually deadlocked with Democratic front-runners Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in three swing states -- Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania.
In Ohio, Giuliani leads Obama, the Democratic senator from Illinois, 44-40 percent. In a poll with a less than three percent margin of error, he is essentially tied with Clinton, the Democratic senator from New York, trailing the former first lady 44-43 percent.
In Florida, Giuliani leads Clinton 47-42 percent and by a wider gap in Pennsylvania, 51-40. Giuliani also is in front of Obama in Florida and Pennsylvania by identical margins, 48-36 percent.