NY is close...NJ is very definitley in play. They have very fond memories of Rudy...Her Thighness is definitely strong in certain areas. The voters in those areas would for Donald Duck if he was the Defeatocrat candidate.
NJ, RI, and a few other states have a large Italian- American population that usually votes Dim. That boosts Rudy's score. They always vote for their own.
It's quite possible that even Rudy can't break through the Rat bias in NJ. And I bet he won't in NY. I think NJ is a possibility, and PA a better possibility.