Posted on 03/27/2007 3:47:33 AM PDT by OrthodoxPresbyterian
Clinton, Giuliani lead in national polling
Written by Staff
Monday, 26 March 2007
Zogby: Giuliani, Clinton Hold Big Leads in National Tests
Edwards holds in third place among Dems; Fred Thompson could be a GOPer worth watching
Republican Rudy Giuliani and Democrat Hillary Clinton, both of New York state, continue to enjoy significant leads over rivals in national tests of likely primary voters, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows. Meanwhile, Giulianis edge among Republicans is now more than double that of his nearest rival.
Clinton holds a doubledigit 32% to 22% lead over Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, with former senator John Edwards a distant third in a national test of Democratic likely voters. The survey was the first national poll to be fielded following Fridays announcement by Edwards that he would continue his campaign despite a new cancer diagnosis facing his wife, Elizabeth. Twentyfour percent of Democrats said they were as yet undecided.
Among Republicans, Giuliani, a moderate, continues to show strength and Arizona Sen. John McCain continues to struggle to build a foundation of support. The former New York mayor now leads over McCain, 27% to 13%.
The survey, conducted March 22-26, 2007, included 432 Democratic respondents (margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage point) and 376 Republicans (margin of error +/- 5.2 percentage points).
Democrats
Clinton -- 32%
Obama -- 22%
Edwards -- 13%
Biden -- 2%
Richardson -- 2%
Kucinich -- 1%
Not Sure -- 24%
Republicans
Giuliani -- 27%
McCain -- 13%
F. Thompson -- 9%
Romney -- 9%
Paul -- 3%
T. Thompson -- 1%
Huckabee -- 1%
Hunter -- 1%
Tancredo -- 1%
Not sure -- 28%
* Other candidates were included in the survey, but only those winning at least 1% support are included in these charts.
In an early January Zogby telephone survey, the race was much closer Giuliani led 21% to 17%. McCain hit his high water mark in another telephone survey just over a month ago but still trailed Giuliani, 29% to 20%. In this latest survey, 28% of Republicans said they are unsure whom they would support for the presidential nomination.
In the Democratic race, Obama is nearly even with Clinton among men (Clinton leads 28% to 26%, with Edwards at 11%), but Clinton remains well ahead among Democratic women (she leads with 35%, compared to 19% for Obama and 15% for Edwards). Among Democratic men, 21% are undecided, while 26% of Dem women said the same.
Among AfricanAmerican Democrats, 40% remain undecided, up from 35% in the Zogby International telephone survey taken late last month. Another 30% support Clinton, while 19% back Obama. In last months survey, Obama had 36% support, compared to 26% for Clinton among the demographic group. In an early January Zogby International poll, Hillary led among AfricanAmericans, 43%, compared to 16% for Obama. In that survey, 15% were undecided, and another 15% said they supported former Vice President Al Gore. Gore has since reiterated his decision not to run for President, and has been removed from the Zogby presidential poll.
Among another key demographic group for the Democratic nomination white women Hillary maintains a solid lead. She wins 33% support, compared to 20% for Edwards and 18% for Obama.
Obama enjoys an eightpoint, 30% to 22% lead over Clinton among progressives (Edwards wins 18%) and a 29% to 25% edge over Clinton among liberals, where Edwards wins 17%. But the new Zogby telephone poll shows Clinton wins over Obama among moderates, 33% to 21%, while Edwards wins 14% of the moderate democratic support.
On the GOP side of the aisle, actorturnedsenatorturnedactor Fred Thompson wins 9% support, tying Mitt Romney of Massachusetts. Thompsons support comes from those Republicans who consider themselves very conservative, where he wins 19% support and nearly ties Giuliani, who leads the demographic group with 21%. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts finishes third among the very conservative with 16%, while McCain finishes fourth with 7% support.
Among mainline conservatives, Giuliani leads second-place McCain by a 31% to 15%, with Thompson winning 10% support.
In the Republican race, Giuliani holds big leads among both men and women, but women are much more on the fence. Among men, he leads with 33%, followed by McCain with 17%, Thompson with 12%, Romney with 9%, and 19% unsure. Among women, Giuliani wins 22%, while McCain wins 9%, Romney wins 8%, and Thompson and Ron Paul win 6% each. Fully 38% of Republican women are undecided on who they would support for their partys nomination.
These poll numbers are important because the race for supporters and campaign contributions is a national effort, said Pollster John Zogby. But state-by-state primaries and caucuses will determine who will be the partiesw standard-bearers in the 2008 presidential race. Zogby International will release the results from a series of telephone polls in key early states over the next several weeks, starting Wednesday.
RON PAUL is the RIGHT Candidate for Pro-Life social conservatives.
RON PAUL is the RIGHT Candidate for Tax-Cutting fiscal conservatives.
RON PAUL is the ONLY 100% Anti-Terrorist candidate.
RON PAUL is the RIGHT Candidate for National Defense and Foreign Affairs.
RON PAUL is the RIGHT Candidate for the Bill of Rights.
RON PAUL is the RIGHT Candidate on Illegal Immigration.
RON PAUL is the ONLY socially-conservative Candidate defending the independence of the Christian Church against Federal "Faith-Based Socialism".
"I got to know President Reagan in 1976 when, as a freshman congressman, I was one of only four members of that body to endorse then-Governor Reagans primary challenge to President Gerald Ford. I had the privilege of serving as the leader of President Reagans Texas delegation at the Republican convention of 1976, where Ronald Reagan almost defeated an incumbent president for his partys nomination. I was one of the millions attracted to Ronald Reagan by his strong support for limited government and the free-market. I felt affinity for a politician who based his conservative philosophy on '...a desire for less government interference or less centralized authority or more individual freedom.' I wish more of todays conservative leaders based their philosophy on a desire for less government and more freedom." Ron Paul, Remembering Ronald Reagan
I'm voting for former Vietnam Combat Flight Surgeon, and Leader of Ronald Reagan's Electoral Delegation from Texas: In 2008, I'm Voting for RON PAUL! |
its too bad Paul succumbed to the left in dissing the troops that are currently in harms way. Although I believe he has the best of intentions...it is not the time or the place to make out guys feel like the vietnam Vets felt 35 years ago....
He has done no such thing. Ron Paul has NEVER "dissed" the troops.
Oh yeah Ron that's a great policy. Really re-enforces that good ol' Look-What-Happened-To-Vietnam feeling.
Do you believe that the Federal Government should provide Military and Financial support to Foreign Governments which knowingly and willfully harbor terrorists (in their Ruling Coalition, no less!)? In keeping with the Principles of the 2002 State of the Union address, I do not.
Yeah, cutting and running is not dissing our troops....(sarc)
Is that what Ron Paul wants?
It seems to me if we have learned any lessons at all from the Afghanistan experience, then we cannot leave any failed states behind from which Al Qaeda can build new power bases, not even in the Horn of Africa. Isolationism went out with Pearl Harbor, and apparently Paul and the other Libertarians have yet to figure this out.
And as far as your assertion goes about a thuggish Islamic government currently ruling Iraq, you are grossly misinformed since it IS an elected government that is dependent upon various competing constituencies inside the country for support. It is hardly the Mullah-led theocracy that you have repeatedly claimed that it is. Please get your facts straight before pushing Paul's agenda here.
No, it's "dissing" our troops to be delivering Military and Financial support to a Government which knowingly and willfully harbors terrorists, IMHO. I think that our troops should be returned home safely to be with their loved ones.
Oh, I rather suspect that the Shi'ite majority of Iraq would strongly object to domination by Wahhabi Sunnis who regard them as "heretics" worthy of death.
And any time I see Shi'ite Terrorists and Sunni Terrorists shooting eachother, I can scarcely object.
And as far as your assertion goes about a thuggish Islamic government currently ruling Iraq, you are grossly misinformed since it IS an elected government that is dependent upon various competing constituencies inside the country for support. It is hardly the Mullah-led theocracy that you have repeatedly claimed that it is. Please get your facts straight before pushing Paul's agenda here.
It doesn't matter that the Government of Iraq is "elected", because they are elected TERRORISTS; self-confessed and even convicted Anti-American terrorist scum! Adolf Hitler was "elected". So what?
That's a mighty BIG assumption that you are making there, partner. Is Ron Paul willing to gamble with American lives on it?
Well heck, let's just disband the military altogether, let the troops stay home permanently, and we then get together with the various Islamic terrorist organizations, as well as with the North Koreans and ChiComs, and sing Kum Ba Ya together, in perpetual peace and harmony forevermore!
Does Ron Paul not understand how silly and naive this sounds?
Considering that 3,000 American Troops have already died in Iraq, in gratitude for which the Iraqis have elected a Shi'ite Terrorist Thug-Regime to Power, I'd say that Ron Paul's actions are most likely to save American Lives.
And no, I don't think it's a very big assumption that Sunni Terrorists and Shi'ite Terrorists will continue to kill eachother in Iraq once our distracting presence is removed. They're doing so now, they did so before we got there, they'll do so after we leave.
Do you not understand how silly and naive your Post sounds?
Ron Paul is a strong supporter of Border Security and a robust National Defense of the physical borders of the United States. But you already knew that, you're just insinuating lies about him because you have no decency.
The *undecideds* are the key to both races. Less than 30% isn't going to win any race.
That said, Paul, IMO is completely wrong about Iraq. We should be kicking ass in every Islamo-facist country in the world, not just I and A.
So is Pelosi and Murtha. That "thug regime" is our regime, is he sure its also "criminal"?
While I understand your sentiment (whether I agree or not), it's just not realistic.
We can't even afford the wars we are fighting. The Republic is piling up Trillions of Dollars in new debt at a frightening rate.
As long as America has an arsenal of thousands of nuclear warheads, I really don't think there's any realistic possibility of being subjugated by camel-jockey jihadists from 7,000 miles away. But at the rate the National Debt is exploding, the threat of a life of Government Tax Slavery for my child is a very real possibility (IMHO).
From my Commentary:
Feel free to check the Links provided above. These people are self-confessed, and even convicted, Anti-American Terrorist Scum. They're happy to take our Money and Military support right now, sure -- but the scorpion remains a scorpion. It is its nature.
I bet Ron Paul is really up among democrats, just like Chuck Hagel.
These are polls of Republican Primary Voters.
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