Posted on 05/02/2007 3:47:23 PM PDT by Cincinna
ROFLMHO!!!
I am sure that if you shake the numbers enough, you can come up with a 17% figure. Perhaps nuclear energy is only 17% of France's peak projected capacity after completion of the great Socialist Pie-In-The-Sky Solar Programme.
The technique is to twist the figures enough to give you a certain narrowly construed answer that you like, followed by three pages of explainatory footnotes about why that figure is not ridiculous on it's face. One then consistently cites that figure without any reference to the footnotes, and pretends to believe it is true.
See "Global Warming" or "Gore Won in Florida 2000" for US examples of same...
Yes, I think the big unspoken fact here is that Royal is Hollande’s sock puppet, because he is too toxic even for French voters.
Fashion wise? Her blouse looked like it came from a waiter’s uniform. And white is not a good color to wear if you’re going to be on TV. Too harsh under the lights. You saw her blouse before you saw her face. Should have been a pale, pale blue.
I wasn’t talking about Segolene...just in general about Euro women.
Well your experiences may be different. I related what I had heard from non French men and what they say about French women.
This is going back about 20 years...they may be shaving and using deodorant now ;>)
>>Well your experiences may be different. I related what I had heard from non French men and what they say about French women.
This is going back about 20 years...they may be shaving and using deodorant now ;>)<<
I actually dated a French girl for 2 years and very nearly married the girl a few years ago. She was definitely up to and beyond day-to-day hygiene standards you see of most girls here in the US.
So a bit different experience. But I’m kind of biased. ;)
Kind of sad/tragic how that one ended, but that’s another story...
I haven’t had time to go and look at the actual transcripts, but I doubt Sarkozy said “unhinged”.
My bet is he said “derange”, which the translator translated as “deranged” or “unhinged”, while it really means “irritated”.
“Unhinged” is too strong. “Irritated”, “angry”, “agitated” perhaps.
It’s probably asking to much, but do you happen to have the actual text where Sarkozy is alleged to have said to Royal that she comes “unhinged” too easily? I doubt it.
Royal With Cheese is treading on dangerous ground if she throws her lot in with the anti-nuke kooks. Mitterand toyed with that idea when he was running and the trade unions literally b*tch-slapped him. He never uttered an anti-nuke word for the rest of his career.
My guess is, "cervelle une merde".
It looks like Sarko is countering painting her the “over emotional woman”. I was skeptical before, but now am beginning to believe he could actually pull this off.
Thanks for your post and for your analysis. Both very cogent, and very coherent.
In a Le Figaro poll, 53% thought Sarkozy was more convincing compared to 31% for Royal. That's going to leave a mark! Sego had better get working hard on manufacturing a scandal. She only has a couple more days to do it.
You must have known a lot of American female students majoring in Women's Studies then...
Scandal?
The only scandals that work in France are proving that you stole money. French hate financial hanky-panky. We already know that Sarkozy has a mistress. Nobody cares. If he didn’t, considering he and his wife are estranged, everyone would wonder what was wrong with him. The French like their leader to be a chaud lapin. It shows that he is in good health and vigor, and that he likes people.
I seriously doubt that Sarkozy is involved in any economic hanky-panky. Why? Because Chirac and Villepin have hated him for a long time. If they could have destroyed him, they would have, and they had the investigative arms of the French government at their command. They investigated him thorougly, discovered his liaisons and his bad temper and his dictatorial style. And the latter two things are on public display, and nobody in France gives a damn about sexual affairs (so long as they are heterosexual)...so what does that leave them with? Nothing. There’s no scandal one can pull out on Sarkozy. He’s not corrupt in the French sense. All she and the Left can do is screech that he’s a dictator-in-waiting. That convinces the Left, and nobody else. Sarkozy is an asshole. So what? That is hardly a disqualifier in French politics. So long as what he proposes is what most French want, and they have confidence in him, he wins.
I think he wins. There is no scandal to be raised.
The price action of InTrade, that I’ve just now seen, indicates that nearly all those who are “betting” with real money on this race believe that Sarkozy made a huge gain during the last 24hrs as far as his chances to beat Royal.
Even more important: if you look at the numbers at the web site, the underlying structure of the bids that are outstanding demonstrate that very few people believe Royal has any chance to get some of boost in the next couple days, and come out the winner.
Right now people aren’t willing to bet $100 on Royal unless they are being given a return of over $1000 if she were to win. Those are pretty tempting odds, but in order to get anyone willing to buy, they want 1:16 or even 1:20 odds.
The traders are saying that something VERY major would have to change for Royal to win.
The underlying structure of Royal’s numbers on InTrade are pretty similar to those expecting President Bush will be impeached... but the odds of that, according to InTrade, are almost twice the odds that Royal will win.
“Analysts said neither candidate had scored a decisive victory.”
-—<>-—<>-—<>-—<>-—<>-—
The traders on InTrade pretty much disagree with this statement.
She HAS to have misunderstood that question, or that wasn’t actually the question.
If she has the nuclear power in France that wrong, Sarokzy and his staff will really make hay about this the next two days. That 17% sounds more like the US numbers, or maybe Europe in general.
I just watched the analysis of this on France 24. They had a four-member panel, three of whom hate Sarko and love Royal, the fourth wasn’t really enthused about either. I don’t know why they bother.
Just checked:
From http://www.iea.org/dbtw-wpd/Textbase/nppdf/free/2006/key2006.pdf
Says France nuke electricity = 78% of total production
US nuke electricity = 20% of total
World nuke electricity = 16% of total
Other sources show Europe as a whole ~ 30% of total production.
Weird that these two have the French numbers so far away from the truth.
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