If McCain’s numbers are on the rise, and FThompson does jump in, will they split the vote and give the nomination to Rudy? or to Romney?
Thompson was a big-time supporter of McCain in 2000.
If Thompson derails McCain, will McCain pick up his marbles and jump to be an Independent or a Dem? He has considered both previously. And if McCain does leave, will he take enough support to derail the GOP in 2008?
There are so many possibilities in play for both the GOP and Dems in 08, that the nominees are still a toss-up in both parties.
Will the GOP lean leftward and embrace Giuliania?
Will the conservatives manage to wrestle away control of the GOP from the big-business country-club globalist Republicans and manage to astound the MSM by nominating a Hunter or Tancredo?
Will Kuchinich jump from the Dems and become the GOP nominee?
It’s a crap shoot for 08.
I agree with you completely.
I thnk this is going to be a toss up even when we get to the convention next year.
I believe that Rudy will win quite a few delegates in the more liberal states, and he’ll be a factor, at least in the first round or two of voting.
I think it likely that Romney will win a significant number of delegates, too... he’s got some states where he is almost certain to do well, and be able to gain leverage in some others.
McCain... who knows... he has a less than promising history as to how he’ll hold up in the long run.
Thompson (if he runs - probable) will certainly get a significant number - and he, combined with the other more conservative candidates, will probably go into the convention with a substantial block of votes.
This is a real toss up for the GOP... I don’t have any independent thoughts about the Demodogs.
Way too early to get troubled about this.
Since Fred has considerd running, he has gone up in national polls at the expense of Rudy. I dont think he is likely to have much of a negative impact on McCain.