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Thompson is really in great shape. The only real down side I see is if he can pull in enough money at this late date.

But look at this schedule, Fred T IMO wins every single southern and Southwest state on the sched.

I count 8 of the below states that are going to be virtual locks for Thompson IMO. Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, W. Virginia, Tennesse and Louisiana. Spin all you want about McCain in SC and WVA being a tossup, but when they here this guy talk they will hear “one of us”. Giulliani and Romney will have no chance against FT’s style, speech,accent—and he just happens to be the most conservative by far. The only monkey wrench I see is perhaps McCain in S.Car and the military issue.

Thompson will play well in Iowa, Missouri, North Dakota and Utah and has a puncher’s chance.

I’d say without a big scandal, faux pas or total meltdown of money, Thompson is actually the favorite.

* January 21, 2008 - Iowa
* January 28, 2008 - New Hampshire
* February 5, 2008 - Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Missouri, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia (which will nominate a candidate at a state nominating convention)
* February 5, 2008 (unofficial date) - Florida, Michigan
* February 12, 2008 - Tennessee
* February 9 or February 16, 2008 (date to be determined) - Louisiana