[new yorker 77]

Marist Poll - November 2, 2004

Kerry - 50%
Bush - 48%

http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/usapolls/PZ041102.htm

Actual:

Bush-51%
Kerry-48%

[conservative in nyc]

The 2004 November 2, 2004 Marist poll was within the margin of error (+/-3) for the actual outcome.

Giuliani's lead in the current poll is statistically significant - barely (MOE +/- 4.5 or 5). That matches most other national polls.