In terms of having a shot, no. He doesn't. I think one of the reasons Kerry was able to bushwhack Dean so easliy is that Kerry DID have the national name recognition, and had a long-standing party apparatus willing to get behind him. Hunter isn't close to having the statewide organization in place, so even if he does well in a single state primary, it won't carry over as it did with Kerry.
Meanwhile, both Romney and Rudy appear to be doing well in NH. Rudy has had a bad two weeks. His abortion stuff hurt---and not his POSITION on abortion so much as he seemed to waffle in that position. I think he would have been much better off, early on, to say what he is now saying. He would have gotten some props for honesty.
Romney, on the other hand, is benefitting from the attacks by Sharpton and from Romney's unwillingness to back down.
For two months, I've said that the winner would be the first one perceived as a "FIGHTER" who will attack DEMS (not Republicans) and who will call them out BY NAME.
When is the California Primary?