Yeah, it isn't exactly pretty. In the more recent polls McCain is pulling closer to Rudy (see the link that I also listed). For example, in California and Texas, Rudy leads only by 3% and 5% and those leads are shrinking. But in other States Rudy still has 10 point or larger leads. Mitt Romney, on the other hand, doesn't appear to be making very large gains.
I’d expect Rudy to poll well in California, or most traditional blue/purple states. Ohio and Penn are not surprising.
But for him to hold down Texas, Florida and the Carolina’s, especially at the expense of McCain, suggests the latter really has nowhere to go. He’s had eight years to mend fences in South Carolina, for instance.
Its still early, but its later than it used to be.