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War Without Consequence? Absurd.
Ludwig Von Mises Institute ^ | 5/22/2007 | Doug Bandow

Posted on 05/22/2007 12:49:35 PM PDT by Jeremydmccann

Who said the following?

There are a lot of things that are different now [after the invasion of Iraq], and one that has gone by almost unnoticed — but it's huge — is that by complete mutual agreement between the US and the Saudi government we can now remove almost all of our forces from Saudi Arabia. Their presence there over the last 12 years has been a source of enormous difficulty for a friendly government. It's been a huge recruiting device for al-Qaeda. In fact if you look at bin Laden, one of his principle grievances was the presence of so-called crusader forces on the holy land, Mecca and Medina. I think just lifting that burden from the Saudis is itself going to open the door to other positive things.

Hint: it wasn't Rep. Ron Paul, the now famous outside presidential candidate who sparred with Rudy Giuliani over the impact of US foreign policy on terrorism. It was Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz in a May 2003 interview with Sam Tanenhaus of Vanity Fair magazine.

This neoconservative guru sounded suspiciously like Rep. Paul, who declared in the Tuesday debate: "Have you ever read the reasons they attacked us? They attack us because we've been over there; we've been bombing Iraq for ten years. We've been in the Middle East." Paul then elaborated after Giuliani's rhetorical blast: "They don't come here to attack us because we're rich and we're free. They come and they attack us becuase we're over there. I mean, what would we think if we were — if other foreign countries were doing that to us?"

We all know, or like to think we know, what Americans would do. We would fight back.

By suggesting that Americans look at their own government's actions, Rep. Paul took a shot at one of the nation's biggest sacred cows: we can do whatever we want in the world without consequence. For decades that seemed to be true. But no longer. It is critical that we honestly and realistically assess the consequences of US foreign policy.

Doing so does not mean that Americans are "to blame" for terrorism. Or that the victims of 9/11 "deserved" what they got. Talking about the issue doesn't necessarily even mean that the United States should change what it is doing. But the first step to design good policy is to recognize the consequences — all of them, including the ugly, unexpected, and painful ones — of alternative strategies.

Unfortunately, the horror of 9/11 short-circuited the US political debate. It was hard for Americans to understand the murder of so many innocent people; the president and other politicians preferred to offer platitudes, claiming that Osama bin Laden & company hated us because we are so free — essentially, because we have a Bill of Rights. Some of the explanations didn't even make logical sense. For instance, President Bill Clinton once claimed that "Americans are targets of terrorism in part …because we stand united against terrorism."

The "they hate us because we are free" argument made no sense since these same terrorists ignored European and Asian countries which mirrored America's prosperity and liberty. Indeed, Osama Bin Laden dismissed the contention: "Contrary to Bush's claim that we hate freedom …why don't we strike Sweden?"

Moreover, terrorism did not start in New York City on that beautiful fall day in 2001. Terrorism is an old political tool, usually employed by non-state actors who lack police forces and militaries: left-wing anarchists used assassinations and bombings to destabilize Czarist Russia more than a century ago.

Terrorism was a particularly common tool of nationalist and communist groups in the latter 20th century. Palestinian terrorism against Israelis reflected this tragic, but common, history. Indeed, until Iraq, the most prolific suicide bombers were outside the Middle East — the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka.

All of these terrorists murdered, maimed, and destroyed to advance a political agenda. So do Islamists who attack the United States. Oddly, some American officials view Islamic jihadists as proto-communists or Nazis, "Islamo-fascists," whatever that means. (Terrorists are nasty people, but fascism as normally understood ain't their game.) Department of Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff contends that Islamic extremists "aspire to dominate all countries. Their goal is a totalitarian, theocratic empire to be achieved by waging perpetual war on soldiers and civilians alike."

It's a fearsome sounding argument, but doesn't match the terrorism that we've faced. World domination is not on the lips of most actual jihadists — the murderers who committed bombings in New York City and in Jakarta, London, and Madrid, for example. There are no terrorist attacks against China. Assaults against Russia and India reflect much more mundane grievances: policy in Chechnya and Kashmir, respectively. Most of the world muddles along undisturbed by any terrorist attacks. It's a curious campaign for world domination.

In fact, the evidence is much stronger that, by and large, terrorists view an activist America as being at war with them. The point is not that their belief is true, or justifies slaughtering Americans. But dismissing their hatred as a result of our freedom ignores the ugly reality that endangers us.

Paul Wolfowitz is not the only US official to understand this aspect of terrorism. In 1997 the Defense Science Board Summer Task Force on DoD Responses to Transnational Threats reported: "America's position in the world invites attack simply because of its presence. Historical data show a strong correlation between US involvement in international situations and an increase in terrorist attacks against the United States."

Moreover, many of the terrorists have explained why they have done what Americans find inexplicable — sacrifice their own lives to kill others. James Bamford records that Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda's number two, Ayman al-Zawahiri, "believed that the United States and Israel had been waging war against Muslims for decades."

Why? Michael Scheuer, the anti-terrorist analyst at the CIA who authored Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing the War on Terror, cites several American actions that offend many Muslims. The US military presence in Saudi Arabia, strong backing for Israel as it rules over millions of Palestinians, allied sanctions and military strikes against Iraq, and support for authoritarian Arab regimes. In fact, large majorities of Arabs and Muslims share these criticism of US policy, even as they express admiration for American values and products.

Supporting Scheuer's conclusion is the University of Chicago's Robert A. Pape. His research indicates that modern terrorist attacks confronted one form or another of foreign occupation. Paul Wolfowitz pointed to Saudi Arabia for a reason. After 9/11 most Saudi men professed their agreement with bin Laden about kicking out American military forces.

Some terrorist attacks could not be anything but retaliation for US intervention. Consider the 1983 bombing of the Marine Corps barracks in Lebanon. Was it because of American liberty? Or was it a plot to conquer the United States? No. The Reagan administration had foolishly intervened in the middle of a civil war to back the "national" government, which ruled little more than Beirut and was controlled by one of the "Christian" factions. Washington indicated its support by having US warships bombard Muslim villages.

Lebanese Muslims saw aggression, not liberty, and fought back with the only effective weapons that they had at the time. The point is not that Americans deserved to be attacked, but that they would not have been attacked but for being placed in the middle of a distant sectarian conflict. No wonder US policymakers prefer not to talk about the causes of terrorism.

Obviously, it's not always so easy to figure out why terrorists undertook a particular attack. But they commonly speak of taking revenge for American killings. And sometimes US officials unwittingly exacerbate the problem.

Sanctions against Saddam Hussein's Iraq were blamed for the deaths of 500,000 Iraqi children. The number is suspect and the ultimate culprit was Hussein, but the toll was significant. Yet when asked about these incontrovertibly innocent victims, Bill Clinton's U.N. Ambassador, Madeleine Albright, told 60 Minutes: "we think the price is worth it." The image of US policy-makers callously writing off Muslim babies does not do justice to America, but it was the image projected by Albright throughout the Islamic world.

In his October 2004 video bin Laden spoke of viewing dead Arab Muslims, after which "it entered my mind that we should punish the oppressor in kind — and that we should destroy the towers in America in order that they taste some of what we tasted, and so that they be deterred from killing our women and children." Bin Laden is evil, but he has a political objective, one that is inextricably tied to interventionist US policies.

Unfortunately, the ongoing Iraq war has become another terrorist cause. The Brookings Institution's Daniel Benjamin notes that the Iraq invasion "gave the jihadists an unmistakable boost. Terrorism is about advancing a narrative and persuading a targeted audience to believe it. Although leading figures in the American administration have often spoken of the terrorists' ideology of hatred, US actions have too often lent inadvertent confirmation to the terrorists' narrative."

He worries that Iraq has created three classes of largely new terrorists — foreigners in Iraq, Iraqi members of al-Qaeda, and local terrorists in other nations, especially in Southeast Asia and Europe. Indeed, research studies in both Israel and Saudi Arabia have found that most of Iraq's terrorists appear to be new recruits not previously part of the jihadist movement, who were drawn by the war to attack Americans.

In sum, Rep. Ron Paul was right: our interventionist foreign policy generates terrorism. Whether one likes his noninterventionist foreign policy proposals (I do) is another question.

But it is time for US officials, including Republican candidates hoping to become the next president, to address the reality that Washington no longer can escape the consequences of its actions. The United States routinely invades, bombs, and sanctions other nations; Washington regularly meddles in other nations, demanding policy changes, promoting electoral outcomes, claiming commercial advantages, and pushing American preferences. However valid these actions, they create grievances and hatreds. And they spark some disgruntled extremists to commit terrorism. This is not a just or fair outcome, especially to the innocent Americans who are attacked. But it is the unfortunate reality.

Just as Paul Wolfowitz explained, almost exactly four years before Rep. Ron Paul was widely criticized for making the same point.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Philosophy; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: conservative; drpaul; ronpaul; thegooddr

1 posted on 05/22/2007 12:49:40 PM PDT by Jeremydmccann
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To: Jeremydmccann

This author takes too much license, for me. Bombing Iraq is not the same as having a base in Saudia Arabia. The connection between the Nazis and islamofascists is well documented.


2 posted on 05/22/2007 1:03:12 PM PDT by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: Jeremydmccann

The essential problem the author neglects is that in the *absence* of the US in the Middle East, the situation there was deteriorating so rapidly that had George W. Bush not intervened, even within a year or two we might have seen a regional nuclear war.

That Pakistani proliferation ring created a unique situation in which several countries banded together to create nuclear weapons, out of the gaze of the IAEA. This combined with a striking naivete to the consequences of nuclear war gave the Muslim world what it thought was Aladdin’s lamp: everything they craved, and more.

It seemed to many of the dictators there that it was a simple matter to drop a single nuclear bomb on Tel Aviv, and all their hatred of Israel, and the feelings of utter inadequacy of the Muslim world would end. It would be a return to a de jure grand Sultanate. The Muslim world would be a superpower confederacy.

The reality was called Jericho II (soon to be Jericho III).

Most likely, word would reach Israel before their nuclear weapon had been built; or perhaps they could have kept it a secret long enough to launch it towards Israel. But either way, Israel would retaliate.

A terrible and swift retaliation. Faced with utter destruction themselves, Israel would have likely used some 200 nuclear weapons, not just against the one Muslim nation who had sent the missile, but against all of them.

It is an irony that when I have said this in past, some Americans have just shrugged and said, “Let them”. It shows their naivete to what nuclear war means as well. Estimated short term dead to exceed 1 billion people.

Within a few days, the first of the atmospheric contamination would reach the United States, faster if it had been caught in the jet stream, which would dump it directly down into middle America.

Our crops and milk would be contaminated for at least 30 years. In that time, several million Americans would prematurely die due to miscarriage, cancer, leukemia and other diseases.

So tell me again how terrible it was that we trod on their precious holy land with our nasty infidel feet?


3 posted on 05/22/2007 1:26:50 PM PDT by Popocatapetl
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To: Jeremydmccann

We need to blame America...again!


4 posted on 05/22/2007 1:32:09 PM PDT by Edgerunner (keep your powder dry...)
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To: ClaireSolt
Bombing Iraq is not the same as having a base in Saudia Arabia.

Bombing Iraq can carry less weight than having the 'infidel' occupying the land of the two holy sites...if you see it from the Islamists point of view.
5 posted on 05/22/2007 1:40:06 PM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: Jeremydmccann

We do not invade and bomb countries routinely. We do so whenever we see it as being in our national interest to do so. But we are the most reluctant superpower you could imagine.


6 posted on 05/22/2007 1:49:40 PM PDT by TBP
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To: Edgerunner
We need to blame America...again!

I think we can all agree that the US government has, by far, the most power at its disposal of all the world's governments. I think we can also agree that the US government policymakers (like all government policymakers from every part of the world for all of history) don't always act with the best of intentions and even less often do they act with much long-term wisdom. Combine those two facts, and you get arrogance, meddling and general bad policy. So, the American government (as opposed to "America" or the American people...I mean, most of the American people had, at best, only a vague awareness that the US government had imposed 12 years of sanctions on the Iraqi people) are due a lot of blame for the fact that the US is so distrusted and disliked around the world

So, when Madeline Albright says on 60 Minutes that the deaths of 500,000 Iraqi children as a result of the sanctions "was worth the price" in an interview that was no doubt seen across the Muslim world by many budding jihadists-to-be...I don't have any problem acknowledging that US government policies don't always serve the interests of we...the American people

7 posted on 05/22/2007 2:07:03 PM PDT by Irontank (Ron Paul for President)
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To: Irontank
No one, nor any government, is perfect. However, I think the blame for all those deaths should be placed on Saddam’s shoulders, not America’s.
8 posted on 05/22/2007 2:19:38 PM PDT by mtnwmn (mtnwmn)
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To: mtnwmn
No one, nor any government, is perfect. However, I think the blame for all those deaths should be placed on Saddam’s shoulders, not America’s

As a practical matter, it doesn't matter what you and I and the rest of America thinks...the Muslim world saw the US as not placing any value on the lives of Iraqi children and OBL has been able to get a lot of mileage out of those sanctions. To be honest...I supported Gulf War I and I initially supported the sanctions against Iraq...but, the more I read about those sanctions, the more I thought it was truly immoral policy on the part of the Bush I and Clinton Administrations. The US government knew the damage those sanctions would cause to the Iraqi people but believed that damage was a necessary part of trying to undermine Saddam. So, for example, the American bombing targeted Iraq's electrical system so that it could not operate its water treatment plants...Col. John Warden III, deputy director of strategy for the Air Force who planned the campaign wrote that:

People say, “You didn’t recognize that it was going to have an effect on water or sewage.” Well, what were we trying to do with sanctions — help out the Iraqi people? No. What we were doing with the attacks on infrastructure was to accelerate the effect of the sanctions.

I really do not believe that the use of sanctions and bombing to force Saddam out of power (not that it worked anyway) was worth the cost (both to the Iraqis and to we Americans in light of the hatred it created in a lot of Muslims toward the US)...in retrospect, I don't see why the US ever got involved in the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait

9 posted on 05/22/2007 3:03:27 PM PDT by Irontank (Ron Paul for President)
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To: Irontank

ping


10 posted on 05/22/2007 3:19:15 PM PDT by Jeremydmccann
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To: Jeremydmccann

“They come and they attack us becuase we’re over there. I mean, what would we think if we were — if other foreign countries were doing that to us?”
We all know, or like to think we know, what Americans would do. We would fight back. “

It’s an interesting hypothetical, even if a little far fetched. Let’s see, what if other contries were doing ‘that’ to us? If we were living under a hideous dictatorship like Saddam’s regime, where we had no rights, faced torture and imprisonment for even the slightest suspicion of disloyalty to the ruling regime, and a multi-national force, led by the most free nations of the world, were coming to liberate us from Saddam-like oppression, and give us a democratic system in which we could choose our own leaders, I’d welcome them with open arms. In fact, if the Ron Paul supporters were, as the article hoped, to attack the liberators in defense of the hideous tyranny that we lived under, I’d be shooting at the one’s attacking the multi-nation forces attempting to liberate us.


11 posted on 05/22/2007 3:23:53 PM PDT by death2tyrants
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To: Irontank
OBL and his ilk attacked America long before the Gulf War I. Sanctions are a tool Western nations use in an effort to oust evil dictators. It rarely works, ie. Cuba. I do not think any of the above mentioned created the Muslim’s hatred of America. Our support of Israel is possibly the primary reason. Muslims’ around the world are on Jihad, not just in America.
12 posted on 05/22/2007 3:41:07 PM PDT by mtnwmn (mtnwmn)
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To: P-40

It is a lot more rational that our foreign policy deal with the governments in the region and not with a group of rebels. We did the no fly zones to protect the Kurds and Shia from the wrath of Sadam. Our base in Saudia Arabia was to fend off an attack by Iraq.


13 posted on 05/22/2007 6:45:12 PM PDT by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: ClaireSolt
It is a lot more rational that our foreign policy deal with the governments in the region and not with a group of rebels

In our world it is rational...but in their world it wasn't. To them we were infidels in the holy land come to prevent their dreams of the caliphate. And of course to some the Northern Alliance is a bunch of radicals.
14 posted on 05/22/2007 6:59:32 PM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: Irontank

We were not starving the Iraqi people. The “sanctions” were quite lose. The problem was that Saddam Hussein pilfer proceeds of Oil for Food. He starved his own people to use them as a propaganda tool.


15 posted on 05/22/2007 11:36:10 PM PDT by rmlew (It's WW4 and the Left wants to negotiate with Islamists who want to kill us , for their mutual ends)
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