It will be interesting to see how India and China pull this off. Neither have gone through the space progams of the 60s and 70s that the USA have accomplished and neither have any first hand knowledge of space exploration.
A manned flight to the moon is far more complex than an unmanned mission to the moon. It takes experienced personnel in space and on the ground built from the ground-up. You cannot outsource this to other 3rd world countries.
I seriously doubt either country will be able to pull this off.
That's what is interesting - China's program so far has been very rational and realistic in terms of mastering each step. I don't know much about China's.
I do hope that the competition to beat each other doesn't lead to intelligent progression falling prey to a breakneck rush. That's how you get tragedies.
Personally, I think both countries have the capacity, technologically and intellectually, to achieve their stated aims. The question is, do they have the political strength to achieve these aims without making political considerations override scientific and engineering factors - that's where I worry for them both.